Updated

Allsvenskan · Matchday 23

BK Hacken vs Orgryte IS

· Nordic Wellness Arena, Gothenburg· Referee Kristoffer Karlsson

Full time3 – 0

Alin prediction was BK Hacken to win

Cblended with market oddsCorrect

Predicted score 2 – 1

10% — likeliest score with our pick

Win probability
BK HackenDrawOrgryte IS

BK Hacken vs Orgryte IS: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
SourceBK HackenDrawOrgryte IS
Model64%21%15%
Market71%17%12%
Published70%18%13%
Edge-2%+1%+1%
  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.24 vs 1.02.
  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.

Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page.

BK Hacken vs Orgryte IS odds movement

Median bookmaker price on BK Hacken, 17 snapshots since 2026-10-03.

Opened 1.30Now 1.30 +0.00
Median 1X2 prices, first and latest snapshot
SelectionFirstLatestMove
BK Hacken1.301.30+0.00
Draw5.505.50+0.00
Orgryte IS7.887.95+0.08

A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.

BK Hacken and Orgryte IS expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

2.24BK Hacken
1.02Orgryte IS
Total expected goals
3.27
Attack rating (BK Hacken / Orgryte IS)
1.16 / 0.92
Defence rating (BK Hacken / Orgryte IS)
0.82 / 1.26

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

BK Hacken vs Orgryte IS score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 4.7% 3.0% 2.0% 0.7% 0.2% 1 7.7% 9.6% 4.5% 1.5% 0.5% 2 9.6% 9.8% 5.0% 1.7% 0.5% 3 7.2% 7.3% 3.8% 1.3% 0.4% 4+ 6.8% 7.0% 3.6% 1.2% 0.4%

Rows: BK Hacken goals. Columns: Orgryte IS goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

BK Hacken vs Orgryte IS goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 95%
Over 1.5 85%
Over 2.5 63%
Over 3.5 41%
Both teams to score
58%
No goals (0–0)
5%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for BK Hacken vs Orgryte IS

Published probability and fair odds per market
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
1X2BK Hacken70%1.44
Draw18%5.60
Orgryte IS13%7.97
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.563%1.58
Under 2.537%2.73
Both teams to scoreYes58%1.72
No42%2.39
Double chance1X (BK Hacken or draw)87%1.14
12 (either side)82%1.22
X2 (draw or Orgryte IS)30%3.29
Handicap -1BK Hacken win by 2+42%2.38
Push (exactly one goal)22%—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

BK Hacken and Orgryte IS recent form

BK Hacken 3W 2D 1L
Orgryte IS 1W 2D 3L

Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.

Home vs away this season

BK Hacken at home

Record (W-D-L)
4-5-2
Win rate
36%
Goals for / match
1.64
Goals against / match
1.64
Clean sheets
2 of 11
  • They have won 9 of their 22 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
  • They have kept 8 clean sheets in 22 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 22 matches.
  • 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Orgryte IS away

Record (W-D-L)
2-0-9
Win rate
18%
Goals for / match
0.73
Goals against / match
2.64
Clean sheets
2 of 11
  • They have won 3 of their 22 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
  • They average 1.5 goals per game at home against 0.7 on the road.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 22 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 7 of 22 matches.
  • 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

League matches this season before kick-off: BK Hacken at home only, Orgryte IS away only.

Injuries & availability

BK Hacken absences

  • B. Engdahl lower-body injury
  • F. Ohman shoulder injury

Orgryte IS absences

  • A. Abukar knee injury
  • J. Tibbling muscle injury
  • R. Alm injury
  • V. Ekblom thigh injury
  • W. Svensson foot injury

Reported injuries and suspensions from our data provider; confirmed line-ups appear about 40 minutes before kick-off.

Expected lineups

BK Hacken lineup · 4-2-3-1

  1. 99 E. Berisha
  2. 21 A. Lundkvist
  3. 22 F. Helander
  4. 13 H. Hilvenius
  5. 5 B. Wembangomo
  6. 19 D. Seger
  7. 6 A. Doumbia
  8. 11 Julius Lindberg
  9. 10 M. Rygaard
  10. 20 A. Svanbäck
  11. 9 G. Lindgren

Bench: A. Linde, M. Agger, S. Hestnes, M. Haaland, L. Väisänen, W. Uhrström, O. Samuelsson, C. Wawa, H. Ibrahim

Orgryte IS lineup · 3-4-3

  1. 44 H. Gustafsson
  2. 25 J. Hammar
  3. 6 M. Dyrestam
  4. 33 S. Lagerlund
  5. 19 A. Andreasson
  6. 8 B. Laturnus
  7. 23 O. Parker-Price
  8. 18 A. Andersson
  9. 22 T. Sana
  10. 17 W. Hofvander
  11. 14 D. Paulson

Bench: M. Parker, J. Azulay, C. Styffe, C. Vindehall, L. Andersson, D. Obou, W. Kenndal, Marlon Ebietomere, A. Rahm

BK Hacken vs Orgryte IS head-to-head

Last 3 meetings: BK Hacken 1 · draws 1 · Orgryte IS 1.

BK HackenDrawsOrgryte IS
Previous meetings
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
2026-07-11Orgryte IS4-3BK HackenAllsvenskan
2026-02-14BK Hacken2-0Orgryte ISFriendlies Clubs
2022-06-20Orgryte IS2-2BK HackenFriendlies Clubs

Other Matchday 23 fixtures

Before and after this match