Malmo FF vs BK Hacken preview
In the upcoming match between Malmo FF and BK Hacken, the 1X2 probabilities show Malmo FF at 38%, a draw at 27%, and BK Hacken at 35%. The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 1-0, with a 9% chance, indicating a tight contest.
Both teams have shown decent form recently, with Malmo FF winning 4 of their last 6 matches and BK Hacken winning 4 of their last 6 as well. The expected goals for both teams are equal at 1.28, and there is a 53% chance for both teams to score. However, the match could deviate from predictions if either team underperforms or if the defenses are stronger than expected.
Malmo FF vs BK Hacken: model vs market
| Source | Malmo FF | Draw | BK Hacken |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 35% | 29% | 35% |
| Market | 39% | 26% | 35% |
| Published | 38% | 27% | 35% |
| Edge | -3% | +3% | 0% |
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.52, recorded — the top price across the 9 books we record, each at its own last update.
Malmo FF vs BK Hacken odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Malmo FF, 6 snapshots since 2026-10-12.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Malmo FF | 2.27 | 2.40 | +0.13 |
| Draw | 3.70 | 3.60 | -0.10 |
| BK Hacken | 2.76 | 2.62 | -0.14 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Malmo FF and BK Hacken expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.56
- Attack rating (Malmo FF / BK Hacken)
- 1.10 / 1.25
- Defence rating (Malmo FF / BK Hacken)
- 0.76 / 0.75
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Malmo FF vs BK Hacken score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Malmo FF goals. Columns: BK Hacken goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Malmo FF vs BK Hacken goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 53%
- No goals (0–0)
- 9%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Malmo FF vs BK Hacken
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Malmo FF | 38% | 2.64 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.75 | |
| BK Hacken | 35% | 2.82 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 47% | 2.12 |
| Under 2.5 | 53% | 1.89 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 53% | 1.87 |
| No | 47% | 2.15 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Malmo FF or draw) | 65% | 1.55 |
| 12 (either side) | 73% | 1.36 | |
| X2 (draw or BK Hacken) | 62% | 1.61 | |
| Handicap -1 | Malmo FF win by 2+ | 16% | 6.18 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Malmo FF and BK Hacken recent form
Malmo FF
4W 1D 1L
BK Hacken
3W 2D 1L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Malmo FF at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 5-1-6
- Win rate
- 42%
- Goals for / match
- 2.08
- Goals against / match
- 1.67
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 12
- They have won 10 of their 22 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- They average 2.2 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
- They have kept 7 clean sheets in 22 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 22 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- 45% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
BK Hacken away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 5-4-2
- Win rate
- 45%
- Goals for / match
- 1.91
- Goals against / match
- 1.09
- Clean sheets
- 6 of 11
- They have won 9 of their 22 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
- They have kept 8 clean sheets in 22 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 22 matches.
- 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Malmo FF at home only, BK Hacken away only.
Malmo FF vs BK Hacken head-to-head
Last 3 meetings: Malmo FF 1 · draws 1 · BK Hacken 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-10 | BK Hacken | 3-2 | Malmo FF | Allsvenskan |
| 2025-11-01 | BK Hacken | 1-1 | Malmo FF | Allsvenskan |
| 2025-06-01 | Malmo FF | 3-0 | BK Hacken | Allsvenskan |
Other Matchday 24 fixtures
- IF Brommapojkarna vs Djurgardens IF 2026-10-16
- AIK Stockholm vs IFK Goteborg — team news & stats 2026-10-17
- Sirius vs IF Elfsborg — team news & stats 2026-10-18
- Vasteras SK FK vs Mjallby AIF 2026-10-18
- Halmstad vs Hammarby FF 2026-10-18
- Orgryte IS v Gais — match page 2026-10-18
- Degerfors IF vs Kalmar FF — team news & stats 2026-10-19
Before and after this match
- Malmo FF, previous: Malmo FF vs Kalmar FF: odds and pick
- BK Hacken, previous: BK Hacken – Orgryte IS, 2026-10-11