Degerfors IF vs Kalmar FF preview
Degerfors IF faces Kalmar FF with a 37% chance of winning compared to Kalmar's 33%. The most likely scoreline is 1-0 in favor of Degerfors IF, which aligns with their expected goals of 1.34 against Kalmar's 0.90. However, the match could see more goals than expected, as there's a 39% chance of Over 2.5 goals and a 45% chance for both teams to score.
Recent form shows Degerfors IF with a record of D-L-L-W-L-L, while Kalmar FF has struggled with L-L-L-L-L-D. This context suggests that while Degerfors has a slight edge, their inconsistency could lead to unexpected results. Kalmar's recent performances indicate they may improve, affecting the predicted outcome.
Degerfors IF vs Kalmar FF: model vs market
| Source | Degerfors IF | Draw | Kalmar FF |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 46% | 30% | 24% |
| Market | 34% | 29% | 37% |
| Published | 37% | 29% | 34% |
| Edge | +11% | +2% | -13% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.34 vs 0.90.
- Better recent form: 1 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
- The market prices Degerfors IF below the model: +11.3 percentage points of edge.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.81, recorded — the top price across the 9 books we record, each at its own last update.
Degerfors IF vs Kalmar FF odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Degerfors IF, 4 snapshots since 2026-10-13.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Degerfors IF | 2.69 | 2.69 | +0.00 |
| Draw | 3.24 | 3.23 | -0.01 |
| Kalmar FF | 2.54 | 2.50 | -0.04 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Degerfors IF and Kalmar FF expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.25
- Attack rating (Degerfors IF / Kalmar FF)
- 0.77 / 0.71
- Defence rating (Degerfors IF / Kalmar FF)
- 0.95 / 1.14
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Degerfors IF vs Kalmar FF score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Degerfors IF goals. Columns: Kalmar FF goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Degerfors IF vs Kalmar FF goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 45%
- No goals (0–0)
- 12%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Degerfors IF vs Kalmar FF
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Degerfors IF | 37% | 2.69 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.44 | |
| Kalmar FF | 34% | 2.97 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 39% | 2.57 |
| Under 2.5 | 61% | 1.64 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 45% | 2.21 |
| No | 55% | 1.83 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Degerfors IF or draw) | 66% | 1.51 |
| 12 (either side) | 71% | 1.41 | |
| X2 (draw or Kalmar FF) | 63% | 1.59 | |
| Handicap -1 | Degerfors IF win by 2+ | 22% | 4.51 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 2 |  |
First deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 3 |  |
100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 4 |  |
200% first deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Degerfors IF and Kalmar FF recent form
Degerfors IF
1W 1D 4L
Kalmar FF
0W 1D 5L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Degerfors IF at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-2-6
- Win rate
- 27%
- Goals for / match
- 1.00
- Goals against / match
- 1.36
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 11
- They have won 5 of their 22 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 22 matches.
- They have failed to score in 11 of 22 matches.
Kalmar FF away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-2-10
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 0.58
- Goals against / match
- 1.67
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 12
- They have won 5 of their 22 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They average 1.3 goals per game at home against 0.6 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 22 matches.
- They have failed to score in 11 of 22 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: Degerfors IF at home only, Kalmar FF away only.
Degerfors IF vs Kalmar FF head-to-head
Last 1 meetings: Degerfors IF 0 · draws 0 · Kalmar FF 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-23 | Kalmar FF | 2-1 | Degerfors IF | Allsvenskan |
Other Matchday 24 fixtures
- IF Brommapojkarna vs Djurgardens IF 2026-10-16
- AIK Stockholm vs IFK Goteborg — team news & stats 2026-10-17
- Sirius vs IF Elfsborg — team news & stats 2026-10-18
- Vasteras SK FK vs Mjallby AIF 2026-10-18
- Malmo FF v BK Hacken — match page 2026-10-18
- Halmstad vs Hammarby FF 2026-10-18
- Orgryte IS v Gais — match page 2026-10-18
Before and after this match
- Degerfors IF, previous: Mjallby AIF vs Degerfors IF: odds and pick
- Kalmar FF, previous: Malmo FF vs Kalmar FF: odds and pick