Vasteras SK FK vs Mjallby AIF preview
Vasteras SK FK faces Mjallby AIF with a 47% chance of winning compared to Mjallby AIF's 28%. The most likely scoreline is 2-0, with Vasteras SK FK expected to score 1.92 goals while Mjallby AIF is projected to score just 0.62. Vasteras SK FK's recent form shows 2 wins in their last 5 matches, while Mjallby AIF has not won in their last 5, with 4 draws and 1 loss.
However, the match could see unexpected results. Both teams to score stands at 40%, suggesting that Mjallby AIF could find the net despite their poor form. The confidence grade for this match is C, indicating some uncertainty in the predictions. An unexpected turnaround in form or a defensive error could change the outcome.
Vasteras SK FK vs Mjallby AIF: model vs market
| Source | Vasteras SK FK | Draw | Mjallby AIF |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 68% | 22% | 10% |
| Market | 40% | 27% | 33% |
| Published | 47% | 26% | 27% |
| Edge | +27% | -5% | -23% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.92 vs 0.62.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
- The market prices Vasteras SK FK below the model: +27.4 percentage points of edge.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.41, recorded — the top price across the 9 books we record, each at its own last update.
Vasteras SK FK vs Mjallby AIF odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Vasteras SK FK, 6 snapshots since 2026-10-12.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Vasteras SK FK | 2.31 | 2.32 | +0.01 |
| Draw | 3.48 | 3.47 | -0.01 |
| Mjallby AIF | 2.83 | 2.83 | -0.00 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Vasteras SK FK and Mjallby AIF expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.54
- Attack rating (Vasteras SK FK / Mjallby AIF)
- 1.00 / 0.55
- Defence rating (Vasteras SK FK / Mjallby AIF)
- 0.83 / 1.25
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Vasteras SK FK vs Mjallby AIF score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Vasteras SK FK goals. Columns: Mjallby AIF goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Vasteras SK FK vs Mjallby AIF goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 40%
- No goals (0–0)
- 9%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Vasteras SK FK vs Mjallby AIF
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Vasteras SK FK | 47% | 2.13 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.89 | |
| Mjallby AIF | 27% | 3.67 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 47% | 2.14 |
| Under 2.5 | 53% | 1.87 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 40% | 2.49 |
| No | 60% | 1.67 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Vasteras SK FK or draw) | 73% | 1.37 |
| 12 (either side) | 74% | 1.35 | |
| X2 (draw or Mjallby AIF) | 53% | 1.89 | |
| Handicap -1 | Vasteras SK FK win by 2+ | 42% | 2.36 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 25% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Vasteras SK FK and Mjallby AIF recent form
Vasteras SK FK
3W 1D 2L
Mjallby AIF
0W 3D 3L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Vasteras SK FK at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 4-4-3
- Win rate
- 36%
- Goals for / match
- 1.55
- Goals against / match
- 1.18
- Clean sheets
- 5 of 11
- They have won 10 of their 22 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They have kept 7 clean sheets in 22 matches.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 22 matches.
Mjallby AIF away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-6-3
- Win rate
- 18%
- Goals for / match
- 1.45
- Goals against / match
- 1.82
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 11
- They have won 5 of their 22 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 22 matches.
- They have failed to score in 9 of 22 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- 34% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Vasteras SK FK at home only, Mjallby AIF away only.
Vasteras SK FK vs Mjallby AIF head-to-head
Last 1 meetings: Vasteras SK FK 0 · draws 1 · Mjallby AIF 0.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-17 | Mjallby AIF | 0-0 | Vasteras SK FK | Allsvenskan |
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Before and after this match
- Vasteras SK FK, previous: IFK Goteborg vs Vasteras SK FK prediction
- Mjallby AIF, previous: Mjallby AIF – Inter Club d'Escaldes, 2026-10-15
- Mjallby AIF, next: FC Iberia 1999 v Mjallby AIF analysis