Mjallby AIF vs Inter Club d'Escaldes Prediction & Betting Tips 15/10/2026

Mjallby AIF vs Inter Club d'Escaldes preview

In the UEFA Europa Conference League fixture between Mjallby AIF and Inter Club d'Escaldes, the 1X2 probabilities show Mjallby AIF at 57%, while Inter Club d'Escaldes sits at 22%. The most likely scoreline predicted is 1-0, which occurs with a 5% chance.

Both teams to score and Over 2.5 goals are both at 47%, indicating a balanced expectation for goal output. However, Mjallby AIF's recent form shows 6 matches with 5 losses, which could affect their performance. In contrast, Inter Club d'Escaldes has a more positive trend with 3 wins in their last 6 matches. This disparity in recent form could influence the outcome.

Mjallby AIF vs Inter Club d'Escaldes: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
Source	Mjallby AIF	Draw	Inter Club d'Escaldes
Model	16%	26%	58%
Market	71%	18%	11%
Published	57%	20%	22%
Edge	-55%	+8%	+47%

Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.38, recorded 2026-10-10 — the top price across the 10 books we record, each at its own last update.

Mjallby AIF vs Inter Club d'Escaldes odds movement

Median bookmaker price on Mjallby AIF, 3 snapshots since 2026-10-09.

Opened 1.30Now 1.30 +0.00

Median 1X2 prices, first and latest snapshot
Selection	First	Latest	Move
Mjallby AIF	1.30	1.30	+0.00
Draw	5.10	5.10	+0.00
Inter Club d'Escaldes	8.65	8.65	+0.00

A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.

Mjallby AIF and Inter Club d'Escaldes expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

0.82Mjallby AIF

1.72Inter Club d'Escaldes

Total expected goals: 2.54
Attack rating (Mjallby AIF / Inter Club d'Escaldes): 0.53 / 1.09
Defence rating (Mjallby AIF / Inter Club d'Escaldes): 1.33 / 0.93

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

Mjallby AIF vs Inter Club d'Escaldes score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 9.0% 12.5% 11.7% 6.7% 4.2% 1 5.4% 12.2% 9.6% 5.5% 3.5% 2 2.6% 4.6% 3.9% 2.2% 1.4% 3 0.7% 1.2% 1.1% 0.6% 0.4% 4+ 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.1%

Rows: Mjallby AIF goals. Columns: Inter Club d'Escaldes goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

Mjallby AIF vs Inter Club d'Escaldes goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 91%

Over 1.5 73%

Over 2.5 47%

Over 3.5 25%

Both teams to score: 47%
No goals (0–0): 9%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for Mjallby AIF vs Inter Club d'Escaldes

Published probability and fair odds per market
Market	Selection	Probability	Fair odds
1X2	Mjallby AIF	57%	1.74
	Draw	20%	4.98
	Inter Club d'Escaldes	22%	4.46
Over/Under 2.5	Over 2.5	47%	2.15
	Under 2.5	53%	1.87
Both teams to score	Yes	47%	2.13
	No	53%	1.89
Double chance	1X (Mjallby AIF or draw)	78%	1.29
	12 (either side)	80%	1.25
	X2 (draw or Inter Club d'Escaldes)	43%	2.35
Handicap -1	Mjallby AIF win by 2+	5%	18.61
	Push (exactly one goal)	11%	—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

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