Panathinaikos vs Borac Banja Luka preview
In the UEFA Europa Conference League fixture between Panathinaikos and Borac Banja Luka, the 1X2 probabilities show Panathinaikos at 56% to win, while Borac Banja Luka sits at 18%. The most likely scoreline is 1-0, with a 12% chance according to our model.
Both teams have shown solid recent form, with Panathinaikos winning their last 6 matches and Borac Banja Luka winning 4 of their last 6. However, the confidence grade is C, indicating potential uncertainty. While there is a 48% chance for Over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance for both teams to score, these outcomes could be affected by the teams' defensive strategies on the day.
Panathinaikos vs Borac Banja Luka: model vs market
| Source | Panathinaikos | Draw | Borac Banja Luka |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 56% | 26% | 18% |
| Market | 72% | 18% | 10% |
| Published | 68% | 20% | 12% |
| Edge | -15% | +8% | +7% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.71 vs 0.87.
- Better recent form: 6 wins in the last 6 vs 4 for the opposition.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.36, recorded — the top price across the 10 books we record, each at its own last update.
Panathinaikos vs Borac Banja Luka odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Panathinaikos, 3 snapshots since 2026-10-09.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Panathinaikos | 1.29 | 1.29 | +0.00 |
| Draw | 5.21 | 5.12 | -0.08 |
| Borac Banja Luka | 9.00 | 9.00 | +0.00 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Panathinaikos and Borac Banja Luka expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.58
- Attack rating (Panathinaikos / Borac Banja Luka)
- 1.29 / 1.24
- Defence rating (Panathinaikos / Borac Banja Luka)
- 0.59 / 0.80
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Panathinaikos vs Borac Banja Luka score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Panathinaikos goals. Columns: Borac Banja Luka goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Panathinaikos vs Borac Banja Luka goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 49%
- No goals (0–0)
- 9%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Panathinaikos vs Borac Banja Luka
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Panathinaikos | 68% | 1.48 |
| Draw | 20% | 4.98 | |
| Borac Banja Luka | 12% | 8.21 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 48% | 2.10 |
| Under 2.5 | 52% | 1.91 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 49% | 2.05 |
| No | 51% | 1.95 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Panathinaikos or draw) | 88% | 1.14 |
| 12 (either side) | 80% | 1.25 | |
| X2 (draw or Borac Banja Luka) | 32% | 3.10 | |
| Handicap -1 | Panathinaikos win by 2+ | 32% | 3.13 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Panathinaikos and Borac Banja Luka recent form
Panathinaikos
6W 0D 0L
Borac Banja Luka
4W 1D 1L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Panathinaikos at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-3-0
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 1.67
- Goals against / match
- 1.67
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 3
- They have won 2 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
Borac Banja Luka away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-1-1
- Win rate
- 33%
- Goals for / match
- 2.00
- Goals against / match
- 1.67
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 3
- They have won 3 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 2.4 goals per match.
League matches this season before kick-off: Panathinaikos at home only, Borac Banja Luka away only.
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- KuPS vs Trabzonspor 2026-10-15
- Mjallby AIF v Inter Club d'Escaldes — match page 2026-10-15
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Before and after this match
- Panathinaikos, previous: Olympiakos Piraeus v Panathinaikos analysis
- Borac Banja Luka, previous: Borac Banja Luka vs BSK Banja Luka: odds and pick