KuPS vs Trabzonspor Prediction & Betting Tips 15/10/2026

KuPS vs Trabzonspor preview

In the UEFA Europa Conference League match between KuPS and Trabzonspor, the 1X2 probabilities show KuPS at 21%, a draw at 24%, and Trabzonspor at 55%. The most likely scoreline from our model is 0-1, which has a 10% chance of occurring.

KuPS has an expected goals figure of 1.14, while Trabzonspor sits at 0.99. The model predicts a 36% chance for Over 2.5 goals and a 44% chance for both teams to score. The recent form shows KuPS with a record of L-W-D-D-L-W, while Trabzonspor has W-L-W-L-L-W. A surprising result could come from either team exceeding their expected goals.

KuPS vs Trabzonspor: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
Source	KuPS	Draw	Trabzonspor
Model	38%	32%	30%
Market	15%	22%	63%
Published	21%	24%	55%
Edge	+22%	+10%	-33%

Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.

Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.53, recorded 2026-10-10 — the top price across the 10 books we record, each at its own last update.

KuPS vs Trabzonspor odds movement

Median bookmaker price on Trabzonspor, 3 snapshots since 2026-10-09.

Opened 1.50Now 1.50 +0.00

Median 1X2 prices, first and latest snapshot
Selection	First	Latest	Move
KuPS	6.12	6.12	+0.00
Draw	4.29	4.29	+0.00
Trabzonspor	1.50	1.50	+0.00

A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.

KuPS and Trabzonspor expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

1.14KuPS

0.99Trabzonspor

Total expected goals: 2.13
Attack rating (KuPS / Trabzonspor): 0.75 / 1.11
Defence rating (KuPS / Trabzonspor): 0.76 / 0.92

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

KuPS vs Trabzonspor score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 13.2% 10.5% 5.9% 1.9% 0.6% 1 12.2% 14.8% 6.7% 2.2% 0.7% 2 7.7% 7.6% 3.8% 1.3% 0.4% 3 2.9% 2.9% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1% 4+ 1.1% 1.1% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%

Rows: KuPS goals. Columns: Trabzonspor goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

KuPS vs Trabzonspor goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 87%

Over 1.5 64%

Over 2.5 36%

Over 3.5 17%

Both teams to score: 44%
No goals (0–0): 13%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for KuPS vs Trabzonspor

Published probability and fair odds per market
Market	Selection	Probability	Fair odds
1X2	KuPS	21%	4.79
	Draw	24%	4.08
	Trabzonspor	55%	1.83
Over/Under 2.5	Over 2.5	36%	2.79
	Under 2.5	64%	1.56
Both teams to score	Yes	44%	2.27
	No	56%	1.79
Double chance	1X (KuPS or draw)	45%	2.20
	12 (either side)	76%	1.32
	X2 (draw or Trabzonspor)	79%	1.26
Handicap -1	Trabzonspor win by 2+	12%	8.57
	Push (exactly one goal)	18%	—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

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Where to bet on this match in Kenya

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