Borac Banja Luka vs BSK Banja Luka: model vs market
| Source | Borac Banja Luka | Draw | BSK Banja Luka |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 73% | 16% | 11% |
| Market | 75% | 17% | 9% |
| Published | 74% | 16% | 9% |
| Edge | -1% | -1% | +2% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.90 vs 1.12.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.26, recorded — the top price across the 3 books we record, each at its own last update.
Borac Banja Luka vs BSK Banja Luka odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Borac Banja Luka, 2 snapshots since 2026-10-06.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Borac Banja Luka | 1.23 | 1.23 | +0.00 |
| Draw | 5.50 | 5.50 | +0.00 |
| BSK Banja Luka | 10.50 | 10.50 | +0.00 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Borac Banja Luka and BSK Banja Luka expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 4.02
- Attack rating (Borac Banja Luka / BSK Banja Luka)
- 1.51 / 1.31
- Defence rating (Borac Banja Luka / BSK Banja Luka)
- 0.95 / 1.44
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Borac Banja Luka vs BSK Banja Luka score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Borac Banja Luka goals. Columns: BSK Banja Luka goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Borac Banja Luka vs BSK Banja Luka goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 64%
- No goals (0–0)
- 2%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Borac Banja Luka vs BSK Banja Luka
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Borac Banja Luka | 74% | 1.35 |
| Draw | 16% | 6.09 | |
| BSK Banja Luka | 9% | 10.72 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 76% | 1.31 |
| Under 2.5 | 24% | 4.25 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 64% | 1.56 |
| No | 36% | 2.79 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Borac Banja Luka or draw) | 91% | 1.10 |
| 12 (either side) | 84% | 1.20 | |
| X2 (draw or BSK Banja Luka) | 26% | 3.89 | |
| Handicap -1 | Borac Banja Luka win by 2+ | 54% | 1.84 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
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| 2 |  |
First deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
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| 3 |  |
100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
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| 4 |  |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Borac Banja Luka and BSK Banja Luka recent form
Borac Banja Luka
4W 1D 1L
BSK Banja Luka
1W 2D 3L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Borac Banja Luka at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 4-0-0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Goals for / match
- 2.00
- Goals against / match
- 0.25
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 4
- They have won 5 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 1.3 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 7 matches.
BSK Banja Luka away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-1-3
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 0.75
- Goals against / match
- 1.75
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 4
- They have won 2 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They average 1.7 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
League matches this season before kick-off: Borac Banja Luka at home only, BSK Banja Luka away only.
Other Matchday 9 fixtures
- Radnik Bijeljina vs Zeljeznicar Sarajevo — team news & stats 2026-10-10
- Čelik vs FK Sarajevo 2026-10-10
- Velež vs Siroki Brijeg — team news & stats 2026-10-10
- Sloga Doboj vs Zrinjski 2026-10-10