Sloga Doboj vs Zrinjski: model vs market
| Source | Sloga Doboj | Draw | Zrinjski |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 17% | 31% | 52% |
| Market | 19% | 27% | 55% |
| Published | 18% | 28% | 54% |
| Edge | -1% | +4% | -3% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.34 vs 0.66.
- Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.70, recorded — the top price across the 4 books we record, each at its own last update.
Sloga Doboj vs Zrinjski odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Zrinjski, 2 snapshots since 2026-10-06.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sloga Doboj | 4.89 | 4.89 | +0.00 |
| Draw | 3.40 | 3.40 | +0.00 |
| Zrinjski | 1.67 | 1.67 | +0.00 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Sloga Doboj and Zrinjski expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.00
- Attack rating (Sloga Doboj / Zrinjski)
- 0.70 / 1.47
- Defence rating (Sloga Doboj / Zrinjski)
- 1.01 / 0.70
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Sloga Doboj vs Zrinjski score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Sloga Doboj goals. Columns: Zrinjski goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Sloga Doboj vs Zrinjski goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 37%
- No goals (0–0)
- 15%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Sloga Doboj vs Zrinjski
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Sloga Doboj | 18% | 5.48 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.60 | |
| Zrinjski | 54% | 1.85 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 32% | 3.09 |
| Under 2.5 | 68% | 1.48 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 37% | 2.71 |
| No | 63% | 1.58 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Sloga Doboj or draw) | 46% | 2.17 |
| 12 (either side) | 72% | 1.38 | |
| X2 (draw or Zrinjski) | 82% | 1.22 | |
| Handicap -1 | Zrinjski win by 2+ | 26% | 3.89 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 26% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
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| 2 |  |
First deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
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| 3 |  |
100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Sloga Doboj and Zrinjski recent form
Sloga Doboj
2W 2D 2L
Zrinjski
5W 0D 1L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Sloga Doboj at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-2-1
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 0.67
- Goals against / match
- 1.00
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 3
- They have won 2 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 7 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 7 matches.
- 43% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Zrinjski away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-0-1
- Win rate
- 67%
- Goals for / match
- 2.00
- Goals against / match
- 0.67
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 3
- They have won 6 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 2.1 goals per match.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 6 matches.
- 50% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Sloga Doboj at home only, Zrinjski away only.
Sloga Doboj vs Zrinjski head-to-head
Last 4 meetings: Sloga Doboj 0 · draws 0 · Zrinjski 4.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-18 | Sloga Doboj | 0-3 | Zrinjski | Premijer Liga |
| 2026-02-06 | Zrinjski | 1-0 | Sloga Doboj | Premijer Liga |
| 2025-10-18 | Sloga Doboj | 0-1 | Zrinjski | Premijer Liga |
| 2025-09-17 | Zrinjski | 3-0 | Sloga Doboj | Premijer Liga |
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