FC Iberia 1999 vs Mjallby AIF preview
In the UEFA Europa Conference League fixture, FC Iberia 1999 has a 57% chance to win compared to Mjallby AIF's 17%. The most likely scoreline is 1-0, with a 13% probability. FC Iberia 1999 has an expected goals figure of 1.67, while Mjallby AIF sits at 0.81.
However, the model shows a 45% chance for Over 2.5 goals and a 46% chance for both teams to score. Recent form indicates FC Iberia 1999 has lost 3 of their last 6 matches, while Mjallby AIF has also struggled, with 4 draws in their last 6 games. These trends could impact the match outcome.
FC Iberia 1999 vs Mjallby AIF: model vs market
| Source | FC Iberia 1999 | Draw | Mjallby AIF |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 57% | 26% | 17% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 57% | 26% | 17% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.67 vs 0.81.
- Better recent form: 1 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
FC Iberia 1999 and Mjallby AIF expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.48
- Attack rating (FC Iberia 1999 / Mjallby AIF)
- 0.80 / 0.56
- Defence rating (FC Iberia 1999 / Mjallby AIF)
- 1.23 / 1.26
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
FC Iberia 1999 vs Mjallby AIF score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: FC Iberia 1999 goals. Columns: Mjallby AIF goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
FC Iberia 1999 vs Mjallby AIF goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 46%
- No goals (0–0)
- 9%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for FC Iberia 1999 vs Mjallby AIF
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | FC Iberia 1999 | 57% | 1.77 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.78 | |
| Mjallby AIF | 17% | 5.88 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 45% | 2.22 |
| Under 2.5 | 55% | 1.82 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 46% | 2.16 |
| No | 54% | 1.86 | |
| Double chance | 1X (FC Iberia 1999 or draw) | 83% | 1.20 |
| 12 (either side) | 74% | 1.36 | |
| X2 (draw or Mjallby AIF) | 43% | 2.30 | |
| Handicap -1 | FC Iberia 1999 win by 2+ | 32% | 3.14 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 25% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
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| 1 |  |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
FC Iberia 1999 and Mjallby AIF recent form
FC Iberia 1999
1W 2D 3L
Mjallby AIF
0W 3D 3L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
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Before and after this match
- FC Iberia 1999, previous: St. Truiden – FC Iberia 1999, 2026-10-15
- Mjallby AIF, previous: Vasteras SK FK vs Mjallby AIF: odds and pick