Trabzonspor vs Heart Of Midlothian Prediction & Betting Tips 22/10/2026

Trabzonspor vs Heart Of Midlothian preview

Trabzonspor faces Heart Of Midlothian with a 53% probability of winning compared to 24% for a draw or for Heart Of Midlothian. The most likely scoreline is 2-1, which aligns with the expected goals of 1.99 for Trabzonspor and 1.28 for Heart Of Midlothian.

Both teams to score and Over 2.5 goals both sit at 63%, indicating a strong likelihood of an open match. However, Trabzonspor's recent form shows inconsistency with W-W-L-W-L-L, while Heart Of Midlothian has been more stable with W-D-L-W-W-W. This could impact the outcome, making it possible for the match to deviate from the predicted scoreline.

Trabzonspor vs Heart Of Midlothian: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
Source	Trabzonspor	Draw	Heart Of Midlothian
Model	53%	24%	24%
Market	—	—	—
Published	53%	24%	24%
Edge	—	—	—

Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.99 vs 1.28.

Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).

Trabzonspor and Heart Of Midlothian expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

1.99Trabzonspor

1.28Heart Of Midlothian

Total expected goals: 3.27
Attack rating (Trabzonspor / Heart Of Midlothian): 1.19 / 1.29
Defence rating (Trabzonspor / Heart Of Midlothian): 0.84 / 1.01

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

Trabzonspor vs Heart Of Midlothian score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 4.8% 3.9% 3.1% 1.3% 0.6% 1 6.6% 10.7% 6.2% 2.7% 1.1% 2 7.5% 9.6% 6.2% 2.6% 1.1% 3 5.0% 6.4% 4.1% 1.7% 0.7% 4+ 3.9% 5.0% 3.2% 1.4% 0.6%

Rows: Trabzonspor goals. Columns: Heart Of Midlothian goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

Trabzonspor vs Heart Of Midlothian goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 95%

Over 1.5 85%

Over 2.5 63%

Over 3.5 41%

Both teams to score: 63%
No goals (0–0): 5%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for Trabzonspor vs Heart Of Midlothian

Published probability and fair odds per market
Market	Selection	Probability	Fair odds
1X2	Trabzonspor	53%	1.89
	Draw	24%	4.23
	Heart Of Midlothian	24%	4.25
Over/Under 2.5	Over 2.5	63%	1.58
	Under 2.5	37%	2.74
Both teams to score	Yes	63%	1.58
	No	37%	2.73
Double chance	1X (Trabzonspor or draw)	76%	1.31
	12 (either side)	76%	1.31
	X2 (draw or Heart Of Midlothian)	47%	2.12
Handicap -1	Trabzonspor win by 2+	32%	3.17
	Push (exactly one goal)	21%	—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

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Where to bet on this match in Kenya

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