Trabzonspor vs Beşiktaş preview
Trabzonspor faces Beşiktaş with a 32% chance of winning compared to Beşiktaş's 42%. The most likely scoreline is 1-2, which occurs at a 9% probability. Beşiktaş's recent form shows 6 wins in their last 7 matches, while Trabzonspor has won 2 of their last 6.
The model predicts Over 2.5 goals at 58% and both teams to score at 62%. Trabzonspor's expected goals stand at 1.46, while Beşiktaş's is slightly higher at 1.57. If Trabzonspor can improve their form and capitalize on home advantage, the outcome could differ from the predictions.
Trabzonspor vs Beşiktaş: model vs market
| Source | Trabzonspor | Draw | Beşiktaş |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 34% | 26% | 39% |
| Market | 33% | 25% | 42% |
| Published | 33% | 25% | 41% |
| Edge | +1% | +1% | -3% |
- Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.30, recorded — the top price across the 9 books we record, each at its own last update.
Trabzonspor vs Beşiktaş odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Beşiktaş, 5 snapshots since 2026-10-12.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Trabzonspor | 3.32 | 2.81 | -0.51 |
| Draw | 3.73 | 3.70 | -0.03 |
| Beşiktaş | 1.99 | 2.20 | +0.21 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Trabzonspor and Beşiktaş expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.03
- Attack rating (Trabzonspor / Beşiktaş)
- 1.24 / 1.49
- Defence rating (Trabzonspor / Beşiktaş)
- 0.86 / 0.80
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Trabzonspor vs Beşiktaş score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Trabzonspor goals. Columns: Beşiktaş goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Trabzonspor vs Beşiktaş goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 62%
- No goals (0–0)
- 6%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Trabzonspor vs Beşiktaş
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Trabzonspor | 33% | 3.00 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.95 | |
| Beşiktaş | 41% | 2.42 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 58% | 1.71 |
| Under 2.5 | 42% | 2.41 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 62% | 1.61 |
| No | 38% | 2.63 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Trabzonspor or draw) | 59% | 1.71 |
| 12 (either side) | 75% | 1.34 | |
| X2 (draw or Beşiktaş) | 67% | 1.50 | |
| Handicap -1 | Beşiktaş win by 2+ | 20% | 4.98 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Trabzonspor and Beşiktaş recent form
Trabzonspor
3W 0D 3L
Beşiktaş
5W 0D 1L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Trabzonspor at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-0-0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Goals for / match
- 3.67
- Goals against / match
- 0.33
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 3
- They have won 3 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 2.2 goals per match.
- They average 3.7 goals per game at home against 0.7 on the road.
- 44% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Beşiktaş away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-0-2
- Win rate
- 33%
- Goals for / match
- 1.33
- Goals against / match
- 1.67
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 3
- They have won 4 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 2.3 goals per match.
- They average 3.3 goals per game at home against 1.3 on the road.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: Trabzonspor at home only, Beşiktaş away only.
Trabzonspor vs Beşiktaş head-to-head
Last 2 meetings: Trabzonspor 1 · draws 1 · Beşiktaş 0.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-09 | Beşiktaş | 1-2 | Trabzonspor | Süper Lig |
| 2025-12-14 | Trabzonspor | 3-3 | Beşiktaş | Süper Lig |
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Before and after this match
- Trabzonspor, previous: KuPS vs Trabzonspor prediction
- Trabzonspor, next: Trabzonspor v Heart Of Midlothian analysis
- Beşiktaş, previous: Hoffenheim v Beşiktaş analysis
- Beşiktaş, next: Beşiktaş – Crystal Palace, 2026-10-22