Gençlerbirliği S.K. vs Galatasaray preview
In the Süper Lig fixture between Gençlerbirliği S.K. and Galatasaray, the 1X2 probabilities show Galatasaray at 52% and Gençlerbirliği S.K. at 26%. The most likely scoreline is 1-2, with a 9% chance according to our model. The expectation for Over 2.5 goals is 71%, and both teams to score stands at 70%.
Gençlerbirliği S.K. has struggled recently, with a record of D-L-L-L-D-W, while Galatasaray has been more consistent with W-L-W-L-W-W. Despite Galatasaray's strong form and head-to-head dominance with 2 wins in their last 2 encounters, the confidence grade is C, indicating some uncertainty in the outcome.
Gençlerbirliği S.K. vs Galatasaray: model vs market
| Source | Gençlerbirliği S.K. | Draw | Galatasaray |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 32% | 23% | 46% |
| Market | 14% | 19% | 67% |
| Published | 19% | 20% | 62% |
| Edge | +18% | +4% | -22% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.06 vs 1.71.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.42, recorded — the top price across the 10 books we record, each at its own last update.
Gençlerbirliği S.K. vs Galatasaray odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Galatasaray, 8 snapshots since 2026-10-11.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gençlerbirliği S.K. | 7.11 | 6.55 | -0.56 |
| Draw | 5.30 | 5.00 | -0.30 |
| Galatasaray | 1.36 | 1.38 | +0.02 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Gençlerbirliği S.K. and Galatasaray expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.78
- Attack rating (Gençlerbirliği S.K. / Galatasaray)
- 0.84 / 1.26
- Defence rating (Gençlerbirliği S.K. / Galatasaray)
- 1.33 / 1.37
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Gençlerbirliği S.K. vs Galatasaray score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Gençlerbirliği S.K. goals. Columns: Galatasaray goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Gençlerbirliği S.K. vs Galatasaray goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 72%
- No goals (0–0)
- 3%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Gençlerbirliği S.K. vs Galatasaray
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Gençlerbirliği S.K. | 19% | 5.38 |
| Draw | 20% | 5.10 | |
| Galatasaray | 62% | 1.62 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 73% | 1.37 |
| Under 2.5 | 27% | 3.67 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 72% | 1.38 |
| No | 28% | 3.62 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Gençlerbirliği S.K. or draw) | 38% | 2.62 |
| 12 (either side) | 80% | 1.24 | |
| X2 (draw or Galatasaray) | 81% | 1.23 | |
| Handicap -1 | Galatasaray win by 2+ | 27% | 3.76 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Gençlerbirliği S.K. and Galatasaray recent form
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
1W 2D 3L
Galatasaray
3W 0D 3L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Gençlerbirliği S.K. at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-2-1
- Win rate
- 25%
- Goals for / match
- 1.50
- Goals against / match
- 1.50
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 4
- They have won 2 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They average 1.5 goals per game at home against 0.3 on the road.
Galatasaray away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-0-1
- Win rate
- 67%
- Goals for / match
- 2.33
- Goals against / match
- 2.00
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 3
- They have won 5 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 2.3 goals per match.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Gençlerbirliği S.K. at home only, Galatasaray away only.
Gençlerbirliği S.K. vs Galatasaray head-to-head
Last 10 meetings: Gençlerbirliği S.K. 2 · draws 2 · Galatasaray 6.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-22 | Galatasaray | 0-2 | Gençlerbirliği S.K. | Türkiye Kupası |
| 2026-04-18 | Gençlerbirliği S.K. | 1-2 | Galatasaray | Süper Lig |
| 2025-11-22 | Galatasaray | 3-2 | Gençlerbirliği S.K. | Süper Lig |
| 2023-02-22 | Galatasaray | 2-2 | Gençlerbirliği S.K. | Friendlies Clubs |
| 2021-05-02 | Gençlerbirliği S.K. | 0-2 | Galatasaray | Süper Lig |
| 2021-01-09 | Galatasaray | 6-0 | Gençlerbirliği S.K. | Süper Lig |
| 2020-03-01 | Galatasaray | 3-0 | Gençlerbirliği S.K. | Süper Lig |
| 2019-10-05 | Gençlerbirliği S.K. | 0-0 | Galatasaray | Süper Lig |
| 2018-04-09 | Gençlerbirliği S.K. | 1-0 | Galatasaray | Süper Lig |
| 2017-11-03 | Galatasaray | 5-1 | Gençlerbirliği S.K. | Süper Lig |
Other Matchday 8 fixtures
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- Erzurumspor FK vs Eyüpspor 2026-10-17
- Amed v Konyaspor — match page 2026-10-17
- Fenerbahçe vs Alanyaspor — team news & stats 2026-10-17
- Kasımpaşa vs Samsunspor — team news & stats 2026-10-18
- Kocaelispor vs Göztepe 2026-10-18
- Başakşehir v Gaziantep FK — match page 2026-10-18
- Trabzonspor v Beşiktaş — match page 2026-10-19
Before and after this match
- Gençlerbirliği S.K., previous: Gençlerbirliği S.K. vs Amed prediction
- Galatasaray, previous: Galatasaray v Barcelona analysis
- Galatasaray, next: Lille v Galatasaray analysis