Amed vs Konyaspor preview
Amed faces Konyaspor with a 52% chance of winning compared to Konyaspor's 22%. The most likely scoreline is 2-0, which aligns with Amed's expected goals of 2.08 against Konyaspor's 0.91. Amed's recent form shows D-W-W-D-W-L, while Konyaspor has struggled with D-D-W-L-L-L.
The model suggests a 57% probability for Over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance for both teams to score. Amed's strong performance could lead to a comfortable victory, but if Konyaspor improves their scoring, it could change the outcome. The confidence grade for this match is C, indicating some uncertainty in the predictions.
Amed vs Konyaspor: model vs market
| Source | Amed | Draw | Konyaspor |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 63% | 22% | 14% |
| Market | 49% | 27% | 24% |
| Published | 52% | 26% | 22% |
| Edge | +15% | -5% | -10% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.08 vs 0.91.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
- The market prices Amed below the model: +14.7 percentage points of edge.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.98, recorded — the top price across the 10 books we record, each at its own last update.
Amed vs Konyaspor odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Amed, 7 snapshots since 2026-10-11.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Amed | 2.00 | 1.91 | -0.09 |
| Draw | 3.50 | 3.45 | -0.05 |
| Konyaspor | 3.52 | 3.84 | +0.32 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Amed and Konyaspor expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.98
- Attack rating (Amed / Konyaspor)
- 1.57 / 0.73
- Defence rating (Amed / Konyaspor)
- 1.02 / 0.89
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Amed vs Konyaspor score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Amed goals. Columns: Konyaspor goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Amed vs Konyaspor goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 53%
- No goals (0–0)
- 6%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Amed vs Konyaspor
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Amed | 52% | 1.91 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.88 | |
| Konyaspor | 22% | 4.58 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 57% | 1.74 |
| Under 2.5 | 43% | 2.34 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 53% | 1.88 |
| No | 47% | 2.13 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Amed or draw) | 78% | 1.28 |
| 12 (either side) | 74% | 1.35 | |
| X2 (draw or Konyaspor) | 48% | 2.10 | |
| Handicap -1 | Amed win by 2+ | 40% | 2.48 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Amed and Konyaspor recent form
Amed
3W 2D 1L
Konyaspor
1W 2D 3L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Amed at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 4-0-0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Goals for / match
- 3.25
- Goals against / match
- 0.75
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 4
- They have won 4 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 2.4 goals per match.
- They average 3.2 goals per game at home against 1.3 on the road.
- 54% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Konyaspor away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-1-2
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 0.67
- Goals against / match
- 1.67
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 3
- They have won 1 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 0.6 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 7 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 7 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: Amed at home only, Konyaspor away only.
Other Matchday 8 fixtures
- Çorum FK vs Rizespor — team news & stats 2026-10-16
- Erzurumspor FK vs Eyüpspor 2026-10-17
- Gençlerbirliği S.K. vs Galatasaray 2026-10-17
- Fenerbahçe vs Alanyaspor — team news & stats 2026-10-17
- Kasımpaşa vs Samsunspor — team news & stats 2026-10-18
- Kocaelispor vs Göztepe 2026-10-18
- Başakşehir v Gaziantep FK — match page 2026-10-18
- Trabzonspor v Beşiktaş — match page 2026-10-19
Before and after this match
- Amed, previous: Gençlerbirliği S.K. vs Amed prediction
- Konyaspor, previous: Konyaspor – Başakşehir, 2026-10-11