Konyaspor vs Başakşehir: model vs market
| Source | Konyaspor | Draw | Başakşehir |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 34% | 28% | 38% |
| Market | 38% | 27% | 35% |
| Published | 37% | 27% | 36% |
| Edge | -1% | 0% | +1% |
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page.
Konyaspor vs Başakşehir odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Konyaspor, 13 snapshots since 2026-10-05.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Konyaspor | 2.59 | 2.49 | -0.10 |
| Draw | 3.35 | 3.50 | +0.15 |
| Başakşehir | 2.51 | 2.68 | +0.17 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Konyaspor and Başakşehir expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.74
- Attack rating (Konyaspor / Başakşehir)
- 0.81 / 1.18
- Defence rating (Konyaspor / Başakşehir)
- 0.98 / 1.11
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Konyaspor vs Başakşehir score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Konyaspor goals. Columns: Başakşehir goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Konyaspor vs Başakşehir goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 57%
- No goals (0–0)
- 8%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Konyaspor vs Başakşehir
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Konyaspor | 37% | 2.70 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.68 | |
| Başakşehir | 36% | 2.79 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 52% | 1.93 |
| Under 2.5 | 48% | 2.07 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 57% | 1.76 |
| No | 43% | 2.32 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Konyaspor or draw) | 64% | 1.56 |
| 12 (either side) | 73% | 1.37 | |
| X2 (draw or Başakşehir) | 63% | 1.59 | |
| Handicap -1 | Konyaspor win by 2+ | 16% | 6.26 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Konyaspor and Başakşehir recent form
Konyaspor
1W 1D 4L
Başakşehir
2W 1D 3L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Konyaspor at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-0-2
- Win rate
- 33%
- Goals for / match
- 0.67
- Goals against / match
- 1.00
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 3
- They have won 1 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 6 matches.
Başakşehir away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-0-2
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 0.50
- Goals against / match
- 3.50
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 2
- They have won 2 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
League matches this season before kick-off: Konyaspor at home only, Başakşehir away only.
Injuries & availability
Konyaspor absences
-
E. Destan
knee injury
-
M. Ibrahimoglu
muscle injury
- M. Jevtovic inactive
Başakşehir absences
-
E. Visca
injury
Reported injuries and suspensions from our data provider; confirmed line-ups appear about 40 minutes before kick-off.
Expected lineups
Konyaspor lineup · 4-2-3-1
- 13 Bahadır Han Güngördü
- 26 Arthur Masuaku
- 4 Adil Demirbağ
- 22 Rayyan Baniya
- 5 Uğurcan Yazğılı
- 8 Marko Jevtović
- 66 Rajmund Tóth
- 7 Diogo Gonçalves
- 77 Melih İbrahimoğlu
- 9 Deniz Türüç
- 11 Jackson Muleka
Bench: Deniz Ertaş, Ahmet Oğuz, Arif Boşluk, Enis Bardhi, Chidozie Awaziem, Yhoan Andzouana, Ebrima Colley, Da Mata, Mostafa Mohamed, Emir Bars
Başakşehir lineup · 4-2-3-1
- 16 Muhammed Şengezer
- 38 Saba Kharebashvili
- 27 Ousseynou Ba
- 23 Emin Bayram
- 33 Michał Karbownik
- 8 Olivier Kemen
- 20 Umut Güneş
- 77 Ivan Brnić
- 14 Eldor Shomurodov
- 70 Andreas Skov Olsen
- 91 Bertuğ Yıldırım
Bench: Onur Ergün, Onur Bulut, Yusuf Sarı, Abbosbek Fayzullaev, Hamza Güreler, Umut Bozok, Jakub Kałuziński, Berkay Özcan, Ömer Ali Şahiner, Deniz Dilmen
Konyaspor vs Başakşehir head-to-head
Last 10 meetings: Konyaspor 3 · draws 1 · Başakşehir 6.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-27 | Başakşehir | 2-0 | Konyaspor | Süper Lig |
| 2025-09-28 | Konyaspor | 2-1 | Başakşehir | Süper Lig |
| 2025-04-05 | Başakşehir | 1-0 | Konyaspor | Süper Lig |
| 2024-11-03 | Konyaspor | 3-2 | Başakşehir | Süper Lig |
| 2024-01-28 | Konyaspor | 2-3 | Başakşehir | Süper Lig |
| 2023-09-02 | Başakşehir | 0-1 | Konyaspor | Süper Lig |
| 2023-01-29 | Başakşehir | 2-0 | Konyaspor | Süper Lig |
| 2022-08-15 | Konyaspor | 0-0 | Başakşehir | Süper Lig |
| 2022-07-15 | Başakşehir | 1-0 | Konyaspor | Friendlies Clubs |
| 2022-02-22 | Başakşehir | 2-1 | Konyaspor | Süper Lig |
Other Matchday 7 fixtures
- Galatasaray vs Kasımpaşa 2026-10-09
- Gençlerbirliği S.K. vs Amed — team news & stats 2026-10-10
- Alanyaspor v Erzurumspor FK — match page 2026-10-10
- Samsunspor vs Trabzonspor 2026-10-10
- Rizespor vs Fenerbahçe 2026-10-10
- Gaziantep FK v Çorum FK — match page 2026-10-11
- Beşiktaş v Kocaelispor — match page 2026-10-11
- Eyüpspor vs Göztepe — team news & stats 2026-10-12
Before and after this match
- Konyaspor, next: Amed vs Konyaspor: odds and pick
- Başakşehir, next: Başakşehir – Gaziantep FK, 2026-10-18