Updated

Süper Lig · Matchday 7

Gaziantep FK vs Çorum FK

· Gaziantep Stadyumu, Gaziantep· Referee G. Hasova

Full time0 – 3

Alin prediction was Çorum FK to win

Cblended with market oddsCorrect

Predicted score 1 – 2

9% — likeliest score with our pick

Win probability
Gaziantep FKDrawÇorum FK

Gaziantep FK vs Çorum FK: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
SourceGaziantep FKDrawÇorum FK
Model28%26%47%
Market37%28%35%
Published35%27%38%
Edge-2%0%+3%
  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.74 vs 1.31.
  • The market prices Çorum FK below our published probability: +2.8 percentage points of edge.

Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page.

Gaziantep FK vs Çorum FK odds movement

Median bookmaker price on Çorum FK, 13 snapshots since 2026-10-05.

Opened 2.53Now 2.62 +0.09
Median 1X2 prices, first and latest snapshot
SelectionFirstLatestMove
Gaziantep FK2.552.50-0.05
Draw3.303.35+0.05
Çorum FK2.532.62+0.09

A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.

Gaziantep FK and Çorum FK expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

1.31Gaziantep FK
1.74Çorum FK
Total expected goals
3.05
Attack rating (Gaziantep FK / Çorum FK)
0.88 / 1.33
Defence rating (Gaziantep FK / Çorum FK)
1.08 / 1.00

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

Gaziantep FK vs Çorum FK score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 5.8% 7.2% 7.2% 4.2% 2.7% 1 5.1% 11.9% 9.4% 5.5% 3.5% 2 4.1% 7.1% 6.1% 3.6% 2.3% 3 1.8% 3.1% 2.7% 1.6% 1.0% 4+ 0.8% 1.3% 1.2% 0.7% 0.4%

Rows: Gaziantep FK goals. Columns: Çorum FK goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

Gaziantep FK vs Çorum FK goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 94%
Over 1.5 82%
Over 2.5 59%
Over 3.5 36%
Both teams to score
61%
No goals (0–0)
6%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for Gaziantep FK vs Çorum FK

Published probability and fair odds per market
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
1X2Gaziantep FK35%2.88
Draw27%3.68
Çorum FK38%2.62
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.559%1.70
Under 2.541%2.42
Both teams to scoreYes61%1.63
No39%2.58
Double chance1X (Gaziantep FK or draw)62%1.62
12 (either side)73%1.37
X2 (draw or Çorum FK)65%1.53
Handicap -1Çorum FK win by 2+26%3.89
Push (exactly one goal)21%—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

Gaziantep FK and Çorum FK recent form

Gaziantep FK 2W 2D 2L
Çorum FK 2W 1D 3L

Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.

Home vs away this season

Gaziantep FK at home

Record (W-D-L)
0-2-1
Win rate
0%
Goals for / match
0.67
Goals against / match
1.00
Clean sheets
1 of 3
  • They have won 2 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
  • They average 1.7 goals per game on the road against 0.7 at home.
  • 54% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Çorum FK away

Record (W-D-L)
1-1-1
Win rate
33%
Goals for / match
3.00
Goals against / match
3.00
Clean sheets
0 of 3
  • They have won 2 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 2.2 goals per match.
  • They average 3.0 goals per game on the road against 1.3 at home.

League matches this season before kick-off: Gaziantep FK at home only, Çorum FK away only.

Injuries & availability

Gaziantep FK absences

  • F. Bavuk hamstring injury
  • N. Sangare back injury

Çorum FK absences

  • M. Thiam inactive

Reported injuries and suspensions from our data provider; confirmed line-ups appear about 40 minutes before kick-off.

Expected lineups

Gaziantep FK lineup · 4-1-4-1

  1. 25 Kacper Tobiasz
  2. 23 Kerim Çalhanoğlu
  3. 14 Myenty Abena
  4. 21 Abakar Sylla
  5. 2 Luis Pérez
  6. 61 Ogün Özçiçek
  7. 10 Kacper Kozłowski
  8. 44 Alexandru Maxim
  9. 8 Gidado Victor Ntino-Emo
  10. 18 Deian Sorescu
  11. 28 Halil Dervişoğlu

Bench: Drissa Camara, Efe Sarıkaya, Ulrich Meleke, Mirza Cihan, Karamba Gassama, Serdar Dursun, Sontje Hansen, Ataberk Dadakdeniz, Sabahattin Destici, Mervan Müjdeci

Çorum FK lineup · 4-2-3-1

  1. 1 Marcos Felipe
  2. 24 Andrei Borza
  3. 6 Hrvoje Smolčić
  4. 2 Çağlar Söyüncü
  5. 5 Alexandre Penetra
  6. 11 Gökhan Sazdağı
  7. 3 Berat Özdemir
  8. 89 Alexandros Kyziridis
  9. 10 Mohammed Diomande
  10. 7 Cengiz Ünder
  11. 19 Jesús Ramírez

Bench: Markus Karlsbakk, Mame Thiam, Youssoufa Moukoko, Arda Şengül, Fredy, Erhan Erentürk, Ylber Ramadani, Göktan Gürpüz, Ermin Mahmić, Ahmed Ildız

Other Matchday 7 fixtures

Before and after this match