Gaziantep FK vs Çorum FK Prediction & Betting Tips 11/10/2026

Gaziantep FK vs Çorum FK: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
Source	Gaziantep FK	Draw	Çorum FK
Model	28%	26%	46%
Market	36%	28%	36%
Published	34%	27%	39%
Edge	-8%	-2%	+10%

Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.73 vs 1.31.
The market prices Çorum FK below the model: +9.9 percentage points of edge.

Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.64, recorded 2026-10-06 — the top price across the 9 books we record, each at its own last update.

Gaziantep FK vs Çorum FK odds movement

Median bookmaker price on Çorum FK, 4 snapshots since 2026-10-05.

Opened 2.53Now 2.53 +0.00

Median 1X2 prices, first and latest snapshot
Selection	First	Latest	Move
Gaziantep FK	2.55	2.55	+0.00
Draw	3.30	3.30	+0.00
Çorum FK	2.53	2.53	+0.00

A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.

Gaziantep FK and Çorum FK expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

1.31Gaziantep FK

1.73Çorum FK

Total expected goals: 3.04
Attack rating (Gaziantep FK / Çorum FK): 0.88 / 1.33
Defence rating (Gaziantep FK / Çorum FK): 1.08 / 0.99

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

Gaziantep FK vs Çorum FK score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 5.9% 7.2% 7.1% 4.1% 2.6% 1 5.2% 11.9% 9.4% 5.4% 3.4% 2 4.1% 7.1% 6.2% 3.5% 2.3% 3 1.8% 3.1% 2.7% 1.6% 1.0% 4+ 0.8% 1.4% 1.2% 0.7% 0.4%

Rows: Gaziantep FK goals. Columns: Çorum FK goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

Gaziantep FK vs Çorum FK goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 94%

Over 1.5 82%

Over 2.5 59%

Over 3.5 36%

Both teams to score: 61%
No goals (0–0): 6%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for Gaziantep FK vs Çorum FK

Published probability and fair odds per market
Market	Selection	Probability	Fair odds
1X2	Gaziantep FK	34%	2.94
	Draw	27%	3.67
	Çorum FK	39%	2.58
Over/Under 2.5	Over 2.5	59%	1.71
	Under 2.5	41%	2.42
Both teams to score	Yes	61%	1.63
	No	39%	2.58
Double chance	1X (Gaziantep FK or draw)	61%	1.63
	12 (either side)	73%	1.38
	X2 (draw or Çorum FK)	66%	1.52
Handicap -1	Çorum FK win by 2+	25%	3.95
	Push (exactly one goal)	21%	—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

Compare the market for this pick

Where to bet on this match in Kenya

Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit

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1	50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply.	M-PESA Paybill 290059 Daily Jackpot Live betting	Get offer
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Gaziantep FK and Çorum FK recent form

Gaziantep FK 2W 2D 2L

Çorum FK 2W 1D 3L

Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.

Home vs away this season

Gaziantep FK at home

Record (W-D-L): 0-2-1
Win rate: 0%
Goals for / match: 0.67
Goals against / match: 1.00
Clean sheets: 1 of 3

They have won 2 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
64% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Çorum FK away

Record (W-D-L): 1-1-1
Win rate: 33%
Goals for / match: 3.00
Goals against / match: 3.00
Clean sheets: 0 of 3

They have won 2 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 2.4 goals per match.

League matches this season before kick-off: Gaziantep FK at home only, Çorum FK away only.

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Prediction snapshot Çorum FK to win Predicted score 1 – 2 C Bet on Çorum FK