Updated

Süper Lig · Matchday 7

Eyüpspor vs Göztepe

· Esenyurt Necmi Kadioglu Stadi, Istanbul· Referee A. Karaoglan

Full time0 – 4

Alin prediction was Göztepe to win

Cblended with market oddsCorrect

Predicted score 1 – 2

8% — likeliest score with our pick

Win probability
EyüpsporDrawGöztepe

Eyüpspor vs Göztepe: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
SourceEyüpsporDrawGöztepe
Model28%22%50%
Market24%25%50%
Published25%24%50%
Edge+1%-1%0%
  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.23 vs 1.65.

Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page.

Eyüpspor vs Göztepe odds movement

Median bookmaker price on Göztepe, 14 snapshots since 2026-10-06.

Opened 1.90Now 1.85 -0.04
Median 1X2 prices, first and latest snapshot
SelectionFirstLatestMove
Eyüpspor3.603.84+0.24
Draw3.573.71+0.14
Göztepe1.901.85-0.04

A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.

Eyüpspor and Göztepe expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

1.65Eyüpspor
2.23Göztepe
Total expected goals
3.87
Attack rating (Eyüpspor / Göztepe)
0.78 / 1.18
Defence rating (Eyüpspor / Göztepe)
1.55 / 1.42

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

Eyüpspor vs Göztepe score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 2.8% 3.9% 5.2% 3.8% 3.6% 1 2.7% 8.4% 8.5% 6.3% 5.9% 2 2.8% 6.3% 7.0% 5.2% 4.9% 3 1.5% 3.4% 3.8% 2.8% 2.7% 4+ 0.9% 2.0% 2.3% 1.7% 1.6%

Rows: Eyüpspor goals. Columns: Göztepe goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

Eyüpspor vs Göztepe goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 97%
Over 1.5 91%
Over 2.5 74%
Over 3.5 54%
Both teams to score
73%
No goals (0–0)
3%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for Eyüpspor vs Göztepe

Published probability and fair odds per market
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
1X2Eyüpspor25%3.96
Draw24%4.10
Göztepe50%1.98
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.574%1.35
Under 2.526%3.89
Both teams to scoreYes73%1.37
No27%3.67
Double chance1X (Eyüpspor or draw)50%2.02
12 (either side)76%1.32
X2 (draw or Göztepe)75%1.34
Handicap -1Göztepe win by 2+31%3.24
Push (exactly one goal)19%—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

Eyüpspor and Göztepe recent form

Eyüpspor 1W 0D 5L
Göztepe 0W 3D 3L

Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.

Home vs away this season

Eyüpspor at home

Record (W-D-L)
1-0-2
Win rate
33%
Goals for / match
0.67
Goals against / match
1.33
Clean sheets
0 of 3
  • They have won 1 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 0.3 goals per match.
  • They average 0.7 goals per game at home against 0.0 on the road.
  • They have failed to score in 5 of 6 matches.

Göztepe away

Record (W-D-L)
0-2-1
Win rate
0%
Goals for / match
2.33
Goals against / match
2.67
Clean sheets
0 of 3
  • They have won 0 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
  • They average 2.3 goals per game on the road against 1.3 at home.
  • They have converted 3 of 5 penalties (60%).

League matches this season before kick-off: Eyüpspor at home only, Göztepe away only.

Injuries & availability

Eyüpspor absences

  • A. Sabiri muscle injury

Göztepe absences

  • Allan Godoi injury
  • F. Bayir inactive
  • G. Bayrakdar inactive
  • I. Sabra ankle injury
  • N. Miroshi inactive
  • N. Sonko Sundberg inactive

Reported injuries and suspensions from our data provider; confirmed line-ups appear about 40 minutes before kick-off.

Expected lineups

Eyüpspor lineup · 4-1-4-1

  1. 31 Horațiu Moldovan
  2. 21 Simone Giordano
  3. 4 Seyfettin Anıl Yaşar
  4. 33 Zak Jules
  5. 77 Konrad Michalak
  6. 88 Chandrel Massanga
  7. 9 Yusuf Barası
  8. 8 David Costa
  9. 28 Taşkın Ilter
  10. 70 Mete Demir
  11. 29 Ahmed Abdullahi

Bench: Emre Bilgin, Arda Yavuz, Talha Ülvan, Lenny Pintor, Charles-Andre Raux Yao, Hamza Akman, Yiğit Demir, Berhan Satli, Musa Karakas, Bilal Boutobba

Göztepe lineup · 3-4-1-2

  1. 1 Arda Özçimen
  2. 26 Malcom Bokele
  3. 19 Noah Sonko Sundberg
  4. 4 Taha Altıkardeş
  5. 12 Richard Akonnor
  6. 20 Novatus Miroshi
  7. 5 Rhaldney
  8. 2 Arda Kurtulan
  9. 8 Alexis Antunes
  10. 9 Juan Santos da Silva
  11. 39 Janderson

Bench: Alex Matos, André Henrique, Efkan Bekiroğlu, Ege Yildirim, Bekir Turaç Böke, Gökdeniz Bayrakdar, Tino Anjorin, Sinclair Armstrong, Mehmet Şamil Öztürk

Eyüpspor vs Göztepe head-to-head

Last 8 meetings: Eyüpspor 2 · draws 3 · Göztepe 3.

EyüpsporDrawsGöztepe
Previous meetings
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
2026-02-28Göztepe0-0EyüpsporSüper Lig
2025-09-27Eyüpspor0-0GöztepeSüper Lig
2025-03-16Göztepe1-1EyüpsporSüper Lig
2024-10-19Eyüpspor1-0GöztepeSüper Lig
2024-05-04Eyüpspor0-3Göztepe1. Lig
2023-12-20Göztepe5-1Eyüpspor1. Lig
2023-04-16Göztepe1-0Eyüpspor1. Lig
2022-11-20Eyüpspor1-0Göztepe1. Lig

Other Matchday 7 fixtures

Before and after this match