Çorum FK vs Rizespor preview
In the Süper Lig fixture between Çorum FK and Rizespor, the 1X2 probabilities show Çorum FK at 57%, while Rizespor sits at 21%. The most likely scoreline from our model is 2-1, which has a 10% chance of occurring. With expected goals of 2.10 for Çorum FK and 1.21 for Rizespor, there is a strong likelihood for Over 2.5 goals at 64% and both teams to score at 63%.
However, Çorum FK's recent form includes two losses and a draw in their last five matches, which could impact their performance. Rizespor, on the other hand, has won three of their last five games, indicating a potential for an upset. This makes the outcome less predictable despite the statistical edge for Çorum FK.
Çorum FK vs Rizespor: model vs market
| Source | Çorum FK | Draw | Rizespor |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 57% | 23% | 21% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 57% | 23% | 21% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.10 vs 1.21.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Çorum FK and Rizespor expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.31
- Attack rating (Çorum FK / Rizespor)
- 1.33 / 1.01
- Defence rating (Çorum FK / Rizespor)
- 0.99 / 1.05
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Çorum FK vs Rizespor score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Çorum FK goals. Columns: Rizespor goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Çorum FK vs Rizespor goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 63%
- No goals (0–0)
- 5%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Çorum FK vs Rizespor
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Çorum FK | 57% | 1.76 |
| Draw | 23% | 4.41 | |
| Rizespor | 21% | 4.86 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 64% | 1.56 |
| Under 2.5 | 36% | 2.79 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 63% | 1.60 |
| No | 37% | 2.67 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Çorum FK or draw) | 79% | 1.26 |
| 12 (either side) | 77% | 1.29 | |
| X2 (draw or Rizespor) | 43% | 2.31 | |
| Handicap -1 | Çorum FK win by 2+ | 35% | 2.84 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 2 |  |
First deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 3 |  |
100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 4 |  |
200% first deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Çorum FK and Rizespor recent form
Çorum FK
2W 1D 3L
Rizespor
3W 1D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Çorum FK at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-0-2
- Win rate
- 33%
- Goals for / match
- 1.33
- Goals against / match
- 1.00
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 3
- They have won 2 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 2.4 goals per match.
Rizespor away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-1-0
- Win rate
- 75%
- Goals for / match
- 1.75
- Goals against / match
- 0.75
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 4
- They have won 3 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- 50% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Çorum FK at home only, Rizespor away only.
Before and after this match
- Çorum FK, previous: Gaziantep FK v Çorum FK analysis
- Rizespor, previous: Rizespor – Fenerbahçe, 2026-10-10