Beşiktaş vs Crystal Palace preview
In the UEFA Europa League match between Beşiktaş and Crystal Palace, the 1X2 probabilities show Beşiktaş at 71%, with a most likely scoreline of 2-1 (8%). The model also indicates a strong chance for Over 2.5 goals at 77% and both teams to score at 67%.
Beşiktaş comes into this match with solid recent form, winning 6 of their last 7 games. Crystal Palace's recent performance, with 4 wins and 2 losses in their last 6 matches, could challenge Beşiktaş. If Crystal Palace can improve their scoring, they might disrupt the expected outcome.
Beşiktaş vs Crystal Palace: model vs market
| Source | Beşiktaş | Draw | Crystal Palace |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 71% | 16% | 13% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 71% | 16% | 13% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.85 vs 1.21.
- Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 4 for the opposition.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Beşiktaş and Crystal Palace expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 4.06
- Attack rating (Beşiktaş / Crystal Palace)
- 1.49 / 1.32
- Defence rating (Beşiktaş / Crystal Palace)
- 0.80 / 1.23
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Beşiktaş vs Crystal Palace score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Beşiktaş goals. Columns: Crystal Palace goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Beşiktaş vs Crystal Palace goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 67%
- No goals (0–0)
- 2%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Beşiktaş vs Crystal Palace
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Beşiktaş | 71% | 1.41 |
| Draw | 16% | 6.08 | |
| Crystal Palace | 13% | 7.78 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 77% | 1.30 |
| Under 2.5 | 23% | 4.35 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 67% | 1.50 |
| No | 33% | 3.00 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Beşiktaş or draw) | 87% | 1.15 |
| 12 (either side) | 84% | 1.20 | |
| X2 (draw or Crystal Palace) | 29% | 3.41 | |
| Handicap -1 | Beşiktaş win by 2+ | 51% | 1.95 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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Beşiktaş and Crystal Palace recent form
Beşiktaş
5W 0D 1L
Crystal Palace
4W 1D 1L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Beşiktaş at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 4-0-0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Goals for / match
- 2.25
- Goals against / match
- 0.25
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 4
- They have won 6 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- They average 2.2 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 7 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 5 matches.
- 58% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Beşiktaş at home only, Crystal Palace away only.
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Before and after this match
- Beşiktaş, previous: Trabzonspor vs Beşiktaş prediction
- Crystal Palace, previous: Brighton vs Crystal Palace: odds and pick
- Crystal Palace, next: Fulham vs Crystal Palace: odds and pick