Inter Club d'Escaldes vs Universitatea Craiova preview
In the UEFA Europa Conference League match between Inter Club d'Escaldes and Universitatea Craiova, the 1X2 probabilities show Universitatea Craiova at 43% and Inter Club d'Escaldes at 28%. The most likely scoreline is 0-1, which aligns with the expected goals of 1.10 for Inter Club d'Escaldes and 1.40 for Universitatea Craiova.
While both teams to score stands at 51% and Over 2.5 goals at 46%, the recent form indicates a potential for a tight match. Inter Club d'Escaldes has drawn twice and won twice in their last five games, while Universitatea Craiova has won four of their last five. This could challenge the predicted scoreline if either team finds a way to break through defensively.
Inter Club d'Escaldes vs Universitatea Craiova: model vs market
| Source | Inter Club d'Escaldes | Draw | Universitatea Craiova |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 28% | 29% | 43% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 28% | 29% | 43% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.40 vs 1.10.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Inter Club d'Escaldes and Universitatea Craiova expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.50
- Attack rating (Inter Club d'Escaldes / Universitatea Craiova)
- 1.09 / 1.27
- Defence rating (Inter Club d'Escaldes / Universitatea Craiova)
- 0.93 / 0.61
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Inter Club d'Escaldes vs Universitatea Craiova score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Inter Club d'Escaldes goals. Columns: Universitatea Craiova goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Inter Club d'Escaldes vs Universitatea Craiova goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 51%
- No goals (0–0)
- 9%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Inter Club d'Escaldes vs Universitatea Craiova
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Inter Club d'Escaldes | 28% | 3.55 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.43 | |
| Universitatea Craiova | 43% | 2.34 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 46% | 2.20 |
| Under 2.5 | 54% | 1.84 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 51% | 1.94 |
| No | 49% | 2.06 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Inter Club d'Escaldes or draw) | 57% | 1.75 |
| 12 (either side) | 71% | 1.41 | |
| X2 (draw or Universitatea Craiova) | 72% | 1.39 | |
| Handicap -1 | Universitatea Craiova win by 2+ | 21% | 4.76 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Inter Club d'Escaldes and Universitatea Craiova recent form
Inter Club d'Escaldes
2W 3D 1L
Universitatea Craiova
4W 1D 1L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Inter Club d'Escaldes at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-1-0
- Win rate
- 50%
- Goals for / match
- 1.00
- Goals against / match
- 0.00
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 2
League matches this season before kick-off: Inter Club d'Escaldes at home only, Universitatea Craiova away only.
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Before and after this match
- Inter Club d'Escaldes, previous: Mjallby AIF – Inter Club d'Escaldes, 2026-10-15
- Universitatea Craiova, previous: Universitatea Craiova vs Farul Constanta prediction