Halmstad vs Hammarby FF preview
In the fixture between Halmstad and Hammarby FF, the 1X2 probabilities show Halmstad at 10%, a draw at 18%, and Hammarby FF at 72%. The most likely scoreline from our model is 0-1, with a 14% chance of occurring. Hammarby FF's expected goals stand at 1.56, significantly higher than Halmstad's 0.74.
While Hammarby FF has a strong probability of winning, factors like Halmstad's recent form, which includes 3 wins in their last 6 matches, could influence the outcome. The model suggests a 40% chance for Over 2.5 goals and a 42% chance for both teams to score, indicating potential for a more competitive match than the probabilities suggest.
Halmstad vs Hammarby FF: model vs market
| Source | Halmstad | Draw | Hammarby FF |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 12% | 24% | 64% |
| Market | 9% | 15% | 76% |
| Published | 10% | 17% | 73% |
| Edge | +3% | +9% | -12% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.82 vs 0.67.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.26, recorded — the top price across the 9 books we record, each at its own last update.
Halmstad vs Hammarby FF odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Hammarby FF, 6 snapshots since 2026-10-12.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Halmstad | 11.80 | 10.00 | -1.80 |
| Draw | 6.20 | 6.30 | +0.10 |
| Hammarby FF | 1.21 | 1.22 | +0.01 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Halmstad and Hammarby FF expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.49
- Attack rating (Halmstad / Hammarby FF)
- 0.65 / 1.11
- Defence rating (Halmstad / Hammarby FF)
- 1.23 / 0.67
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Halmstad vs Hammarby FF score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Halmstad goals. Columns: Hammarby FF goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Halmstad vs Hammarby FF goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 42%
- No goals (0–0)
- 9%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Halmstad vs Hammarby FF
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Halmstad | 10% | 10.03 |
| Draw | 17% | 5.87 | |
| Hammarby FF | 73% | 1.37 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 45% | 2.21 |
| Under 2.5 | 55% | 1.83 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 42% | 2.39 |
| No | 58% | 1.72 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Halmstad or draw) | 27% | 3.70 |
| 12 (either side) | 83% | 1.21 | |
| X2 (draw or Hammarby FF) | 90% | 1.11 | |
| Handicap -1 | Hammarby FF win by 2+ | 39% | 2.59 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 25% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
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Halmstad and Hammarby FF recent form
Halmstad
3W 0D 3L
Hammarby FF
3W 1D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Halmstad at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-2-6
- Win rate
- 27%
- Goals for / match
- 0.82
- Goals against / match
- 1.64
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 11
- They have won 3 of their 22 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 9 of 22 matches.
- 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Hammarby FF away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 4-3-4
- Win rate
- 36%
- Goals for / match
- 1.36
- Goals against / match
- 1.27
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 11
- They have won 13 of their 22 league games this season, scoring 2.2 goals per match.
- They average 3.1 goals per game at home against 1.4 on the road.
- They have kept 9 clean sheets in 22 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
- 42% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Halmstad at home only, Hammarby FF away only.
Halmstad vs Hammarby FF head-to-head
Last 3 meetings: Halmstad 1 · draws 1 · Hammarby FF 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-22 | Hammarby FF | 1-1 | Halmstad | Allsvenskan |
| 2025-09-28 | Halmstad | 1-0 | Hammarby FF | Allsvenskan |
| 2025-06-28 | Hammarby FF | 2-0 | Halmstad | Allsvenskan |
Other Matchday 24 fixtures
- IF Brommapojkarna vs Djurgardens IF 2026-10-16
- AIK Stockholm vs IFK Goteborg — team news & stats 2026-10-17
- Sirius vs IF Elfsborg — team news & stats 2026-10-18
- Vasteras SK FK vs Mjallby AIF 2026-10-18
- Malmo FF v BK Hacken — match page 2026-10-18
- Orgryte IS v Gais — match page 2026-10-18
- Degerfors IF vs Kalmar FF — team news & stats 2026-10-19
Before and after this match
- Halmstad, previous: IF Elfsborg v Halmstad analysis
- Hammarby FF, previous: Hammarby FF vs Djurgardens IF prediction