Updated
Primeira Liga · Portugal · 2026/27
Model-driven 1X2, over/under, BTTS and correct-score probabilities for every Estrela fixture we cover — built from expected-goals ratings and de-vigged market odds, never from tips.
Current rank12th 10 pts · full tableForm · last 5
Next fixture · Primeira Liga
Estrela
at
Moreirense
Away
18+ · T&Cs apply · best price across 8 bookmakers, each at its own last update.
2026/27 league season, 9 matches played. Straight tallies of Estrela results, three points for a win.
Month · matches played that month. Both charts share one scale.
Month · matches played that month. Both charts share one scale.
Place in the 2026/27 table after each of 9 league matches, recomputed from results.
Ranked by points, then goal difference, then goals scored — from played results, not an imported table. Every point is the table as it stood on that date, when other clubs may have played fewer matches, so the last point can read differently from the current table at the top of this page. Hover a point for the match.
Next 8 scheduled — a prediction page appears once a fixture enters our publication window.
| Date | Match | Our pick | Our prob | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Moreirense (A) | EstrelaOur prob 38%Best odds 2.45 | 38% | 2.45 | |
| vs Benfica (H) | BenficaOur prob 75% | 75% | — | |
| at Vitória SC (A) | not yet published | — | — | |
| vs GIL Vicente (H) | not yet published | — | — | |
| at FC Porto (A) | not yet published | — | — | |
| vs Maritimo (H) | not yet published | — | — | |
| at Santa Clara (A) | not yet published | — | — | |
| vs Estoril (H) | not yet published | — | — |
Our prob = the probability we publish for that pick (model blended with the de-vigged market price where one is recorded). Best odds = the top bookmaker price on our pick, taking each book at its own last update. 17 more fixtures scheduled later this season.
| Date · round | Opponent | Result |
|---|---|---|
| 17 October 2026 Round of 64 |
at Fazendense | 2–1 win |
Last 2 played — what we predicted and what happened.
| Date | Match | Our pick | Our prob | Score | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Casa Pia (H)Our pick Estrela · 54% | Estrela to win | 54% | 0–2 | Missed | |
| at Fazendense (A)Our pick Estrela · 67% | Estrela to win | 67% | 2–1 | Correct |
Our pick = the 1X2 selection we published before kick-off, with the probability we gave it; Correct/Missed compares that pick with the final result. Scores are Estrela’s goals first; H/A = home/away.
Estrela at home Estrela awayLeague matches this season only: Estrela at home in the left column, away in the right.