Konkola Blades vs Man Utd Zambia Academy preview
In the Zambia Super League fixture between Konkola Blades and Man Utd Zambia Academy, the 1X2 probabilities show Konkola Blades at 52%, while Man Utd Zambia Academy is at 20%. The most likely scoreline is 1-0, with a 13% chance. Konkola Blades has an expected goals figure of 1.52 compared to 0.86 for Man Utd Zambia Academy, suggesting a potential edge for the home side.
However, there are factors that could challenge this prediction. Both teams to score stands at 46%, indicating a reasonable chance that both sides could find the net. Additionally, recent form shows Konkola Blades has mixed results, with two wins and one loss in their last five matches, while Man Utd Zambia Academy has also been inconsistent with three wins and two losses.
Konkola Blades vs Man Utd Zambia Academy: model vs market
| Source | Konkola Blades | Draw | Man Utd Zambia Academy |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 52% | 28% | 20% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 52% | 28% | 20% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.52 vs 0.86.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Konkola Blades and Man Utd Zambia Academy expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.38
- Attack rating (Konkola Blades / Man Utd Zambia Academy)
- 1.28 / 1.21
- Defence rating (Konkola Blades / Man Utd Zambia Academy)
- 0.99 / 1.14
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Konkola Blades vs Man Utd Zambia Academy score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Konkola Blades goals. Columns: Man Utd Zambia Academy goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Konkola Blades vs Man Utd Zambia Academy goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 46%
- No goals (0–0)
- 10%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Konkola Blades vs Man Utd Zambia Academy
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Konkola Blades | 52% | 1.93 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.53 | |
| Man Utd Zambia Academy | 20% | 5.00 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 43% | 2.35 |
| Under 2.5 | 57% | 1.74 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 46% | 2.16 |
| No | 54% | 1.86 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Konkola Blades or draw) | 80% | 1.25 |
| 12 (either side) | 72% | 1.39 | |
| X2 (draw or Man Utd Zambia Academy) | 48% | 2.07 | |
| Handicap -1 | Konkola Blades win by 2+ | 27% | 3.65 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
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| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Konkola Blades and Man Utd Zambia Academy recent form
Konkola Blades
3W 2D 1L
Man Utd Zambia Academy
3W 1D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Konkola Blades at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-0-0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Goals for / match
- 2.00
- Goals against / match
- 1.00
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 1
Man Utd Zambia Academy away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-1-0
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 1.00
- Goals against / match
- 1.00
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 1
League matches this season before kick-off: Konkola Blades at home only, Man Utd Zambia Academy away only.
Konkola Blades vs Man Utd Zambia Academy head-to-head
Last 2 meetings: Konkola Blades 0 · draws 1 · Man Utd Zambia Academy 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-12 | Man Utd Zambia Academy | 1-1 | Konkola Blades | Zambia Super League |
| 2025-08-23 | Konkola Blades | 0-2 | Man Utd Zambia Academy | Zambia Super League |
Other Matchday 3 fixtures
- Green Eagles vs Red Arrows 2026-10-14
- Mufulira Wanderers v Nkwazi — match page 2026-10-14
- NAPSA Stars vs Nkana — team news & stats 2026-10-14
- Nchanga Rangers vs Trident 2026-10-14
- Kansanshi Dynamos vs Power Dynamos — team news & stats 2026-10-14
- Roan United vs ZESCO United 2026-10-14
- Mutondo Stars v Green Buffaloes — match page 2026-10-15
- Chirundu Utd vs Kabwe Warriors — team news & stats 2026-10-15
Before and after this match
- Konkola Blades, previous: Zanaco – Konkola Blades, 2026-10-11
- Man Utd Zambia Academy, previous: Man Utd Zambia Academy vs Kansanshi Dynamos prediction