Roan United vs ZESCO United: model vs market
| Source | Roan United | Draw | ZESCO United |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 24% | 36% | 41% |
| Market | 23% | 30% | 47% |
| Published | 23% | 31% | 46% |
| Edge | 0% | +1% | -2% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.02 vs 0.72.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page.
Roan United and ZESCO United expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 1.74
- Attack rating (Roan United / ZESCO United)
- 0.88 / 1.61
- Defence rating (Roan United / ZESCO United)
- 0.90 / 0.75
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Roan United vs ZESCO United score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Roan United goals. Columns: ZESCO United goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Roan United vs ZESCO United goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 34%
- No goals (0–0)
- 19%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Roan United vs ZESCO United
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Roan United | 23% | 4.38 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.18 | |
| ZESCO United | 46% | 2.19 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 25% | 3.95 |
| Under 2.5 | 75% | 1.34 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 34% | 2.94 |
| No | 66% | 1.52 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Roan United or draw) | 54% | 1.84 |
| 12 (either side) | 69% | 1.46 | |
| X2 (draw or ZESCO United) | 77% | 1.30 | |
| Handicap -1 | ZESCO United win by 2+ | 17% | 6.03 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Roan United and ZESCO United recent form
Roan United
1W 1D 1L
ZESCO United
3W 2D 1L
Last 3 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Roan United at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-1-0
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 0.00
- Goals against / match
- 0.00
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 1
ZESCO United away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-1-0
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 1.00
- Goals against / match
- 1.00
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 1
League matches this season before kick-off: Roan United at home only, ZESCO United away only.
Roan United vs ZESCO United head-to-head
Last 6 meetings: Roan United 0 · draws 3 · ZESCO United 3.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2014-08-16 | ZESCO United | 2-0 | Roan United | Super League |
| 2014-04-20 | Roan United | 1-2 | ZESCO United | Super League |
| 2013-09-22 | Roan United | 0-2 | ZESCO United | Super League |
| 2013-05-04 | ZESCO United | 0-0 | Roan United | Super League |
| 2012-08-18 | Roan United | 1-1 | ZESCO United | Super League |
| 2012-04-21 | ZESCO United | 1-1 | Roan United | Super League |
Before and after this match
- Roan United, next: Mutondo Stars vs Roan United: odds and pick
- ZESCO United, next: Nkwazi vs ZESCO United prediction