Updated

Algeria Ligue 1 · Matchday 6Postponed

CR Belouizdad vs Olympique Akbou

Alin prediction CR Belouizdad to win

Cmodel only, no market odds

Predicted score 1 – 0

16% — likeliest score with our pick

Win probability
CR BelouizdadDrawOlympique Akbou

CR Belouizdad vs Olympique Akbou: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
SourceCR BelouizdadDrawOlympique Akbou
Model66%24%10%
Market———
Published66%24%10%
Edge———
  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.66 vs 0.51.
  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.

Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).

CR Belouizdad and Olympique Akbou expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

1.66CR Belouizdad
0.51Olympique Akbou
Total expected goals
2.17
Attack rating (CR Belouizdad / Olympique Akbou)
1.24 / 0.80
Defence rating (CR Belouizdad / Olympique Akbou)
0.72 / 0.98

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

CR Belouizdad vs Olympique Akbou score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 12.3% 4.8% 1.5% 0.3% 0.0% 1 18.0% 10.6% 2.5% 0.4% 0.1% 2 15.8% 8.0% 2.0% 0.3% 0.0% 3 8.7% 4.5% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 4+ 5.3% 2.7% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%

Rows: CR Belouizdad goals. Columns: Olympique Akbou goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

CR Belouizdad vs Olympique Akbou goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 88%
Over 1.5 65%
Over 2.5 37%
Over 3.5 18%
Both teams to score
37%
No goals (0–0)
12%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for CR Belouizdad vs Olympique Akbou

Published probability and fair odds per market
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
1X2CR Belouizdad66%1.51
Draw24%4.21
Olympique Akbou10%9.95
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.542%2.40
Under 2.558%1.71
Both teams to scoreYes37%2.73
No63%1.58
Double chance1X (CR Belouizdad or draw)90%1.11
12 (either side)76%1.31
X2 (draw or Olympique Akbou)34%2.96
Handicap -1CR Belouizdad win by 2+38%2.66
Push (exactly one goal)27%—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

CR Belouizdad and Olympique Akbou recent form

CR Belouizdad 3W 3D 0L
Olympique Akbou 1W 2D 3L

Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.

Home vs away this season

CR Belouizdad at home

Record (W-D-L)
2-0-0
Win rate
100%
Goals for / match
1.00
Goals against / match
0.00
Clean sheets
2 of 2

Olympique Akbou away

Record (W-D-L)
1-1-1
Win rate
33%
Goals for / match
0.67
Goals against / match
0.67
Clean sheets
2 of 3

League matches this season before kick-off: CR Belouizdad at home only, Olympique Akbou away only.

CR Belouizdad vs Olympique Akbou head-to-head

Last 2 meetings: CR Belouizdad 2 · draws 0 · Olympique Akbou 0.

CR BelouizdadDrawsOlympique Akbou
Previous meetings
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
2026-05-08Olympique Akbou0-1CR BelouizdadAlgeria Ligue 1
2025-12-20CR Belouizdad3-2Olympique AkbouAlgeria Ligue 1

Other Matchday 6 fixtures

Before and after this match