ABB vs Real Potosí preview
In the upcoming match between ABB and Real Potosí, the 1X2 probabilities show Real Potosí at 47% and ABB at 24%. The most likely scoreline from our model is 0-1, with a 12% chance. Real Potosí has shown better recent form, winning 2 of their last 5 matches, while ABB has lost 4 of their last 5.
The expected goals indicate ABB at 0.93 and Real Potosí at 1.41, suggesting a struggle for ABB to score. While there is a 42% chance of Over 2.5 goals and a 47% chance for both teams to score, these outcomes could be impacted by ABB's recent performance and low expected goals.
ABB vs Real Potosí: model vs market
| Source | ABB | Draw | Real Potosí |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 24% | 30% | 47% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 24% | 30% | 47% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.41 vs 0.93.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
ABB and Real Potosí expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.34
- Attack rating (ABB / Real Potosí)
- 0.87 / 0.85
- Defence rating (ABB / Real Potosí)
- 1.26 / 0.51
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
ABB vs Real Potosí score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: ABB goals. Columns: Real Potosí goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
ABB vs Real Potosí goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 47%
- No goals (0–0)
- 11%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for ABB vs Real Potosí
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | ABB | 24% | 4.25 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.38 | |
| Real Potosí | 47% | 2.13 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 42% | 2.41 |
| Under 2.5 | 58% | 1.71 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 47% | 2.12 |
| No | 53% | 1.89 | |
| Double chance | 1X (ABB or draw) | 53% | 1.88 |
| 12 (either side) | 70% | 1.42 | |
| X2 (draw or Real Potosí) | 76% | 1.31 | |
| Handicap -1 | Real Potosí win by 2+ | 24% | 4.25 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
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ABB and Real Potosí recent form
ABB
1W 1D 4L
Real Potosí
2W 3D 1L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
ABB at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 5-1-4
- Win rate
- 50%
- Goals for / match
- 1.90
- Goals against / match
- 1.50
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 10
- They have won 6 of their 20 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They average 1.9 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 20 matches.
- They have converted 8 of 9 penalties (89%).
- 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Real Potosí away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-5-2
- Win rate
- 30%
- Goals for / match
- 1.00
- Goals against / match
- 0.80
- Clean sheets
- 4 of 10
- They have won 7 of their 19 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 1.7 goals per game at home against 0.9 on the road.
- They have kept 8 clean sheets in 19 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 19 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 5 penalties (80%).
League matches this season before kick-off: ABB at home only, Real Potosí away only.
ABB vs Real Potosí head-to-head
Last 1 meetings: ABB 0 · draws 0 · Real Potosí 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-09 | Real Potosí | 3-1 | ABB | Bolivia Primera División |
Other Apertura - 22 fixtures
- Real Tomayapo vs Gualberto Villarroel SJ 2026-10-17
Before and after this match
- ABB, previous: Oriente Petrolero vs ABB prediction
- Real Potosí, previous: Real Potosí – The Strongest, 2026-10-11