Deportivo Pereira vs Jaguares preview
Deportivo Pereira faces Jaguares with a 49% chance of winning compared to 24% for Jaguares. The most likely scoreline is 1-0 for Deportivo Pereira, which aligns with their expected goals of 1.62 against Jaguares' 1.08.
However, the match could deviate from this prediction. Both teams to score stands at 54%, indicating a reasonable chance that Jaguares could find the net. Additionally, Deportivo Pereira's recent form shows inconsistency with only one win in their last six matches, which could impact their performance.
Deportivo Pereira vs Jaguares: model vs market
| Source | Deportivo Pereira | Draw | Jaguares |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 49% | 27% | 24% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 49% | 27% | 24% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.62 vs 1.08.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Deportivo Pereira and Jaguares expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.70
- Attack rating (Deportivo Pereira / Jaguares)
- 0.74 / 1.05
- Defence rating (Deportivo Pereira / Jaguares)
- 1.04 / 1.55
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Deportivo Pereira vs Jaguares score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Deportivo Pereira goals. Columns: Jaguares goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Deportivo Pereira vs Jaguares goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 54%
- No goals (0–0)
- 8%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Deportivo Pereira vs Jaguares
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Deportivo Pereira | 49% | 2.06 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.69 | |
| Jaguares | 24% | 4.12 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 51% | 1.97 |
| Under 2.5 | 49% | 2.03 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 54% | 1.85 |
| No | 46% | 2.18 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Deportivo Pereira or draw) | 76% | 1.32 |
| 12 (either side) | 73% | 1.37 | |
| X2 (draw or Jaguares) | 51% | 1.95 | |
| Handicap -1 | Deportivo Pereira win by 2+ | 26% | 3.82 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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| 1 |  |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Deportivo Pereira and Jaguares recent form
Deportivo Pereira
1W 3D 2L
Jaguares
1W 0D 5L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Deportivo Pereira at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-7-7
- Win rate
- 12%
- Goals for / match
- 0.88
- Goals against / match
- 1.38
- Clean sheets
- 6 of 16
- They have won 3 of their 33 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They have kept 8 clean sheets in 33 matches.
- They have failed to score in 17 of 33 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 4 penalties (75%).
- 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Jaguares away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-3-13
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 0.75
- Goals against / match
- 2.31
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 16
- They have won 7 of their 31 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They average 1.4 goals per game at home against 0.7 on the road.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 31 matches.
- They have failed to score in 9 of 31 matches.
- They have converted 5 of 6 penalties (83%).
League matches this season before kick-off: Deportivo Pereira at home only, Jaguares away only.
Deportivo Pereira vs Jaguares head-to-head
Last 1 meetings: Deportivo Pereira 0 · draws 0 · Jaguares 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-09 | Jaguares | 1-0 | Deportivo Pereira | Primera A |
Other Clausura - 5 fixtures
- Cucuta vs Águilas Doradas 2026-10-27
- Chico vs Junior — team news & stats 2026-10-28
- Once Caldas v Alianza Valledupar — match page 2026-10-28
- Internacional de Bogota vs Independiente Medellin 2026-10-29
- America de Cali vs Fortaleza FC — team news & stats 2026-10-29
- Atletico Nacional v Santa Fe — match page 2026-10-30
- Bucaramanga vs Deportivo Pasto — team news & stats 2026-10-31
Before and after this match
- Deportivo Pereira, previous: Once Caldas vs Deportivo Pereira prediction
- Jaguares, previous: Jaguares v Llaneros analysis