Spain · 2026/27 season

Segunda División Football Predictions

Eibar leads the Segunda División with 21 points after 88 matches played in the 2026/27 season. The average goals per match stands at 2.61, with 48% of matches going over 2.5 goals and 49% seeing both teams score. Predictions could change if Eibar's scoring rate drops or if their opponents improve defensively.

Teams 22 in the 2026/27 season
Matches played 88 of 462 scheduled this season
Prediction pages 11 fixtures in our publication window
Fixtures predicted 97 so far this season

Upcoming Segunda División fixtures

11 fixtures in our publication window — every row opens the full prediction; 49 more scheduled later this season.

Segunda División fixtures in our publication window with our pick, edge and best market odds
MatchLeaguePickEdgeModelMarketConf.Best odds
AD Ceuta FC vs SabadellSegunda DivisiónC Segunda División SabadellOur prob 44%Best odds 2.15 -4% 41% 45% C 2.15
Eldense vs CordobaSegunda DivisiónC Segunda División EldenseOur prob 42%Best odds 2.49 +13% 52% 39% C 2.49
Celta de Vigo II vs Real Sociedad IISegunda DivisiónC Segunda División Celta de Vigo IIOur prob 42%Best odds 2.42 0% 42% 42% C 2.42
FC Andorra vs CastellónSegunda DivisiónC Segunda División CastellónOur prob 55% — 55% — C —
Almeria vs LeganesSegunda DivisiónC Segunda División AlmeriaOur prob 60%Best odds 1.70 +13% 70% 57% C 1.70
Mallorca vs Las PalmasSegunda DivisiónC Segunda División MallorcaOur prob 58%Best odds 1.62 -9% 51% 60% C 1.62
Cadiz vs Sporting GijonSegunda DivisiónC Segunda División CadizOur prob 38%Best odds 2.60 +3% 40% 37% C 2.60
Real Valladolid vs AlbaceteSegunda DivisiónC Segunda División Real ValladolidOur prob 48%Best odds 2.00 0% 48% 48% C 2.00
Burgos vs GranadaSegunda DivisiónC Segunda División BurgosOur prob 44%Best odds 2.49 +19% 58% 39% C 2.49
Real Oviedo vs EibarSegunda DivisiónC Segunda División EibarOur prob 36%Best odds 3.35 +30% 59% 29% C 3.35
Tenerife vs GironaSegunda DivisiónC Segunda División GironaOur prob 39%Best odds 2.61 +1% 40% 38% C 2.61

Our prob = the probability we publish for that pick — the model blended with the de-vigged market price where one is recorded; the Model and Market columns are the two inputs behind it. Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability; grade A/B = the pick is backed by both/one team's xG record. Best odds = the top bookmaker price on our pick, taking each book at its own last update.

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Segunda División table

2026/27 season · computed from played results — ranked by points, then goal difference, then goals scored. Form: last five, newest first.

Segunda División table from played results
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Eibar 8 701 187 +11 21
2 Castellón 8 620 153 +12 20
3 Almeria 8 602 135 +8 18
4 Girona 8 422 148 +6 14
5 Mallorca 8 422 83 +5 14
6 Burgos 8 422 129 +3 14
7 Sabadell 8 341 86 +2 13
8 Sporting Gijon 8 413 88 0 13
9 Granada 8 323 1313 0 11
10 Real Oviedo 8 323 88 0 11
11 Las Palmas 8 323 1213 -1 11
12 Tenerife 8 323 1012 -2 11
13 Leganes 8 323 611 -5 11
14 Real Valladolid 8 233 811 -3 9
15 Cordoba 8 305 1318 -5 9
16 Real Sociedad II 8 224 1113 -2 8
17 Eldense 8 224 810 -2 8
18 Celta de Vigo II 8 224 1014 -4 8
19 Cadiz 8 143 1110 +1 7
20 FC Andorra 8 215 1215 -3 7
21 AD Ceuta FC 8 125 718 -11 5
22 Albacete 8 017 515 -10 1

P = played, GD = goal difference, Pts = points. Not an imported table: it is rebuilt from the results in our database, so it may lag the official one by a match.

Segunda División trends

How Segunda División matches actually ended in the 2026/27: 88 played matches. A record of results, not a forecast.

Home wins 43% 38 of 88 matches -1 pts vs 2025/26 (468)
Away wins 34% 30 of 88 matches +4 pts vs 2025/26 (468)
Over 2.5 goals 48% 42 of 88 matches -2 pts vs 2025/26 (468)
Both teams scored 49% 43 of 88 matches -7 pts vs 2025/26 (468)

Change is in percentage points against the 2025/26 season (468 played matches).

Top Segunda División teams by model rating

The attack and defence rates our model feeds into every prediction, as of the last update. Net = attack − defence, in goals per match.

#1
Net rating
+0.90
Attack
1.98
Defence
1.08
Form NextReal Oviedo (A) · 12 Oct
#3
Net rating
+0.51
Attack
1.46
Defence
0.94
Form NextLeganes (H) · 11 Oct

Rates are decay-weighted over each team’s last 15 completed matches — xG where the window is xG-backed, goals otherwise — and shrunk towards the league average; a higher attack and a lower defence rate are better. Form: last five results, newest first.

Top scorers in Segunda División

From the Segunda División scoring charts this season — goals first, then assists. Not a full squad list.

  • Enric GallegoTenerife 5 G 0 A
  • Jordi CanoFC Andorra 4 G 1 A
  • Ousmane CamaraCastellón 4 G 1 A
  • Y. AsprillaGirona 4 G 0 A
  • FuentesMallorca 4 G 0 A
  • Carlos HernándezAD Ceuta FC 4 G 0 A
  • Israel SueroCastellón 3 G 2 A
  • Jon GuruzetaEibar 3 G 2 A

Recent Segunda División results

Last 6 played — what we predicted and what happened.

Recent Segunda División results with our pre-match pick
DateMatchOur pickOur probScorePick
Cordoba vs TenerifeOur pick Cordoba · 46% Cordoba to win 46% 3–2 Correct
Girona vs MallorcaOur pick Girona · 38% Girona to win 38% 0–0 Missed
Sabadell vs FC AndorraOur pick Sabadell · 50% Sabadell to win 50% 0–0 Missed
Las Palmas vs Real ValladolidOur pick Las Palmas · 43% Las Palmas to win 43% 2–2 Missed
Castellón vs AD Ceuta FCOur pick Castellón · 76% Castellón to win 76% 1–1 Missed
Sporting Gijon vs Celta de Vigo IIOur pick Sporting Gijon · 57% Sporting Gijon to win 57% 3–2 Correct

Our pick = the 1X2 selection we published before kick-off, with the probability we gave it; Correct/Missed compares that pick with the final result.