Updated

Spain · 2026/27 season

Segunda División Football Predictions

Model-driven 1X2, over/under, BTTS and correct-score probabilities for every Segunda División fixture — 22 clubs, 121 of 462 matches played, 129 fixtures predicted so far this season. Built from expected-goals ratings and de-vigged market odds, never from tips.

Teams 22 in the 2026/27 season
Matches played 121 of 462 scheduled this season
Prediction pages 11 fixtures in our publication window
Fixtures predicted 129 so far this season

Upcoming Segunda División fixtures

11 fixtures in our publication window — every row opens the full prediction; 49 more scheduled later this season.

Segunda División fixtures in our publication window with our pick, edge and best market odds
MatchLeaguePickEdgeOursMarketConf.Best odds
Real Sociedad II vs GironaSegunda DivisiónC Segunda División GironaOur prob 51%Best odds 2.08 +5% 51% 46% C 2.08
Eibar vs AlmeriaSegunda DivisiónC Segunda División EibarOur prob 37%Best odds 2.52 -2% 37% 38% C 2.52
Celta de Vigo II vs CordobaSegunda DivisiónC Segunda División CordobaOur prob 44%Best odds 2.06 -2% 44% 47% C 2.06
Albacete vs SabadellSegunda DivisiónC Segunda División SabadellOur prob 37%Best odds 2.85 +2% 37% 34% C 2.85
Eldense vs GranadaSegunda DivisiónC Segunda División EldenseOur prob 41%Best odds 2.40 0% 41% 41% C 2.40
AD Ceuta FC vs Sporting GijonSegunda DivisiónC Segunda División Sporting GijonOur prob 39%Best odds 2.57 +1% 39% 37% C 2.57
Burgos vs CastellónSegunda DivisiónC Segunda División CastellónOur prob 39%Best odds 2.55 +2% 39% 38% C 2.55
Tenerife vs FC AndorraSegunda DivisiónC Segunda División TenerifeOur prob 47% — 47% — C —
Real Oviedo vs Las PalmasSegunda DivisiónC Segunda División Real OviedoOur prob 54%Best odds 1.78 0% 54% 54% C 1.78
Real Valladolid vs LeganesSegunda DivisiónC Segunda División Real ValladolidOur prob 53%Best odds 1.95 +4% 53% 49% C 1.95
Mallorca vs CadizSegunda DivisiónC Segunda División MallorcaOur prob 63%Best odds 1.40 -5% 63% 67% C 1.40

Our prob = the probability we publish for that pick (the Ours column) — our model blended with the de-vigged market price where one is recorded; Market = that de-vigged market probability. Edge = Ours minus Market; grade A/B = the pick is backed by both/one team's xG record. Best odds = the top bookmaker price on our pick, taking each book at its own last update.

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Segunda División table

2026/27 season · computed from played results — ranked by points, then goal difference, then goals scored. Form: last five, newest first.

Segunda División table from played results
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Castellón 11 821 224 +18 26
2 Almeria 11 812 229 +13 25
3 Eibar 11 713 2013 +7 22
4 Girona 11 632 2210 +12 21
5 Granada 11 623 1814 +4 20
6 Burgos 11 623 1612 +4 20
7 Mallorca 11 542 136 +7 19
8 Sporting Gijon 11 614 1113 -2 19
9 Real Oviedo 11 533 1512 +3 18
10 Sabadell 11 452 119 +2 17
11 Cordoba 11 506 1720 -3 15
12 Tenerife 11 353 1315 -2 14
13 Eldense 11 425 1315 -2 14
14 Las Palmas 11 425 1419 -5 14
15 Real Valladolid 11 335 1616 0 12
16 Celta de Vigo II 11 335 1621 -5 12
17 Leganes 11 335 716 -9 12
18 Cadiz 11 245 1414 0 10
19 FC Andorra 11 317 1520 -5 10
20 Real Sociedad II 11 227 1422 -8 8
21 AD Ceuta FC 11 128 1025 -15 5
22 Albacete 11 119 822 -14 4

P = played, GD = goal difference, Pts = points. Not an imported table: it is rebuilt from the results in our database, so it may lag the official one by a match.

Segunda División trends

How Segunda División matches actually ended in the 2026/27: 121 played matches. A record of results, not a forecast.

Home wins 46% 56 of 121 matches +2 pts vs 2025/26 (468)
Away wins 32% 39 of 121 matches +2 pts vs 2025/26 (468)
Over 2.5 goals 50% 60 of 121 matches -1 pts vs 2025/26 (468)
Both teams scored 51% 62 of 121 matches -5 pts vs 2025/26 (468)

Change is in percentage points against the 2025/26 season (468 played matches).

Top Segunda División teams by model rating

The attack and defence rates our model feeds into every prediction, as of the last update. Net = attack − defence, in goals per match.

Net rating
+1.19
Attack
1.90
Defence
0.71
Form NextBurgos (A) · 1 Nov
#3
Net rating
+0.80
Attack
1.86
Defence
1.05
Form NextEibar (A) · 31 Oct

Rates are decay-weighted over each team’s last 15 completed matches — xG where the window is xG-backed, goals otherwise — and shrunk towards the league average; a higher attack and a lower defence rate are better. Form: last five results, newest first.

Top scorers in Segunda División

From the Segunda División scoring charts this season — goals first, then assists. Not a full squad list.

  • Miguel de la FuenteAlmeria 7 G 1 A
  • Enric GallegoTenerife 7 G 0 A
  • A. MarinCelta de Vigo II 6 G 1 A
  • FuentesMallorca 6 G 1 A
  • Israel SueroCastellón 5 G 2 A
  • V. VanatGirona 5 G 2 A
  • Y. AsprillaGirona 5 G 1 A
  • Jordi CanoFC Andorra 4 G 2 A

Recent Segunda División results

Last 6 played — what we predicted and what happened.

Recent Segunda División results with our pre-match pick
DateMatchOur pickOur probScorePick
FC Andorra vs BurgosOur pick FC Andorra · 40% FC Andorra to win 40% 2–3 Missed
Castellón vs Sporting GijonOur pick Castellón · 61% Castellón to win 61% 4–0 Correct
Cadiz vs AD Ceuta FCOur pick Cadiz · 50% Cadiz to win 50% 3–1 Correct
Albacete vs EldenseOur pick Eldense · 39% Eldense to win 39% 2–0 Missed
Sabadell vs TenerifeOur pick Sabadell · 48% Sabadell to win 48% 1–1 Missed
Almeria vs Real OviedoOur pick Almeria · 58% Almeria to win 58% 2–2 Missed

Our pick = the 1X2 selection we published before kick-off, with the probability we gave it; Correct/Missed compares that pick with the final result.