Granada vs Tenerife preview
Granada faces Tenerife with a 48% chance of winning compared to Tenerife's 24%. The most likely scoreline is 2-0, with Granada expected to score 1.88 goals and Tenerife 0.97. Granada's recent form shows 4 wins and 1 loss, while Tenerife has struggled with 3 draws and 3 losses in their last 6 matches.
The prediction could be affected if Tenerife improves their scoring, as both teams to score is at 54%. Additionally, the expectation of Over 2.5 goals is also at 54%, indicating potential for more goals if both teams find their rhythm. Granada's strong home form could play a significant role in the outcome.
Granada vs Tenerife: model vs market
| Source | Granada | Draw | Tenerife |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 62% | 22% | 16% |
| Market | 49% | 27% | 24% |
| Published | 52% | 26% | 22% |
| Edge | +3% | -1% | -2% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.06 vs 0.96.
- Better recent form: 6 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
- The market prices Granada below our published probability: +3.2 percentage points of edge.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.98, recorded — the top price across the 7 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: +3.5% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
Granada vs Tenerife odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Granada, 6 snapshots since 2026-11-01.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Granada | 2.15 | 1.90 | -0.25 |
| Draw | 3.32 | 3.45 | +0.13 |
| Tenerife | 3.63 | 3.90 | +0.27 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Granada and Tenerife expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.02
- Attack rating (Granada / Tenerife)
- 1.31 / 0.98
- Defence rating (Granada / Tenerife)
- 0.83 / 1.07
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Granada vs Tenerife score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Granada goals. Columns: Tenerife goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Granada vs Tenerife goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 55%
- No goals (0–0)
- 6%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Granada vs Tenerife
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Granada | 52% | 1.91 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.86 | |
| Tenerife | 22% | 4.57 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 58% | 1.72 |
| Under 2.5 | 42% | 2.39 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 55% | 1.82 |
| No | 45% | 2.21 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Granada or draw) | 78% | 1.28 |
| 12 (either side) | 74% | 1.35 | |
| X2 (draw or Tenerife) | 48% | 2.09 | |
| Handicap -1 | Granada win by 2+ | 39% | 2.57 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
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100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Granada and Tenerife recent form
Granada
6W 0D 0L
Tenerife
0W 5D 1L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Granada at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-1-1
- Win rate
- 60%
- Goals for / match
- 1.80
- Goals against / match
- 1.00
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 5
- They have won 6 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 11 matches.
Tenerife away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-3-2
- Win rate
- 17%
- Goals for / match
- 1.33
- Goals against / match
- 2.00
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 6
- They have won 3 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
League matches this season before kick-off: Granada at home only, Tenerife away only.
Granada vs Tenerife head-to-head
Last 1 meetings: Granada 1 · draws 0 · Tenerife 0.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-04 | Tenerife | 0-1 | Granada | Copa del Rey |
Other Matchday 13 fixtures
- Burgos v Celta de Vigo II — match page 2026-11-07
- Cadiz vs Real Oviedo 2026-11-07
- Leganes vs Albacete — team news & stats 2026-11-07
- Cordoba v AD Ceuta FC — match page 2026-11-07
- FC Andorra vs Mallorca 2026-11-08
- Girona vs Almeria 2026-11-08
- Las Palmas v Eldense — match page 2026-11-08
- Sporting Gijon v Real Valladolid — match page 2026-11-08
Before and after this match
- Granada, previous: Eldense vs Granada: odds and pick
- Tenerife, previous: Badajoz – Tenerife, 2026-11-04