Updated

Segunda División · Matchday 13

FC Andorra vs Mallorca

· Estadi de la FAF, Encamp

Alin prediction Mallorca to win

Cmodel only, no market odds

Predicted score 0 – 1

11% — likeliest score with our pick

Win probability
FC AndorraDrawMallorca
  • RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.

FC Andorra vs Mallorca preview

In the match between FC Andorra and Mallorca, the 1X2 probabilities show Mallorca at 40%, FC Andorra at 28%, and a draw at 31%. The most likely scoreline is 0-1, with a 12% chance. Mallorca has a higher expected goals figure at 1.22 compared to FC Andorra's 0.99, indicating they may create more scoring opportunities.

However, the prediction could be challenged if FC Andorra improves their recent form, which includes three wins in their last five matches. Both teams to score has a 46% chance, while Over 2.5 goals stands at 38%. Mallorca's recent form includes three draws and two wins, suggesting they are also capable of finding the net.

FC Andorra vs Mallorca: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
SourceFC AndorraDrawMallorca
Model28%30%42%
Market———
Published28%30%42%
Edge———

Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).

FC Andorra and Mallorca expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

1.06FC Andorra
1.33Mallorca
Total expected goals
2.39
Attack rating (FC Andorra / Mallorca)
1.07 / 0.98
Defence rating (FC Andorra / Mallorca)
1.15 / 0.67

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

FC Andorra vs Mallorca score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 10.5% 10.9% 8.1% 3.6% 1.6% 1 8.4% 14.2% 8.6% 3.8% 1.7% 2 5.1% 6.8% 4.6% 2.0% 0.9% 3 1.8% 2.4% 1.6% 0.7% 0.3% 4+ 0.6% 0.8% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%

Rows: FC Andorra goals. Columns: Mallorca goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

FC Andorra vs Mallorca goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 90%
Over 1.5 70%
Over 2.5 43%
Over 3.5 22%
Both teams to score
49%
No goals (0–0)
10%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for FC Andorra vs Mallorca

Published probability and fair odds per market
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
1X2FC Andorra28%3.52
Draw30%3.33
Mallorca42%2.41
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.543%2.34
Under 2.557%1.75
Both teams to scoreYes49%2.03
No51%1.97
Double chance1X (FC Andorra or draw)58%1.71
12 (either side)70%1.43
X2 (draw or Mallorca)72%1.40
Handicap -1Mallorca win by 2+20%5.05
Push (exactly one goal)22%—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

Where to bet on this match in Kenya

Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit

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FC Andorra and Mallorca recent form

FC Andorra 2W 2D 2L
Mallorca 2W 3D 1L

Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.

Home vs away this season

FC Andorra at home

Record (W-D-L)
2-0-4
Win rate
33%
Goals for / match
1.67
Goals against / match
1.83
Clean sheets
1 of 6
  • They have won 3 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
  • They average 1.7 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
  • They have failed to score in 4 of 11 matches.

Mallorca away

Record (W-D-L)
1-4-1
Win rate
17%
Goals for / match
0.50
Goals against / match
0.67
Clean sheets
3 of 6
  • They have won 5 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
  • They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 0.5 on the road.
  • They have kept 6 clean sheets in 11 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 4 of 11 matches.

League matches this season before kick-off: FC Andorra at home only, Mallorca away only.

Other Matchday 13 fixtures

Before and after this match

Prediction snapshot Mallorca to win Predicted score 0 – 1 C Bet on Mallorca