Mallorca vs Cordoba preview
Mallorca faces Cordoba with a 56% chance of winning compared to Cordoba's 20%. The most likely scoreline is 1-0 in favor of Mallorca, with a probability of 11%. Mallorca has an expected goals figure of 1.63, while Cordoba sits at 0.96.
However, the match could see a different outcome if both teams manage to score, as our model shows a 51% chance for that scenario. Additionally, the likelihood of Over 2.5 goals stands at 48%. Recent form indicates Mallorca has had mixed results, while Cordoba has shown some resilience with two wins in their last five matches.
Mallorca vs Cordoba: model vs market
| Source | Mallorca | Draw | Cordoba |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 52% | 27% | 21% |
| Market | 49% | 25% | 27% |
| Published | 50% | 25% | 25% |
| Edge | +1% | +1% | -1% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.63 vs 0.96.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.98, recorded — the top price across the 10 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -1.7% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
Mallorca vs Cordoba odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Mallorca, 11 snapshots since 2026-11-08.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mallorca | 1.65 | 1.91 | +0.26 |
| Draw | 4.15 | 3.80 | -0.35 |
| Cordoba | 4.67 | 3.52 | -1.15 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Mallorca and Cordoba expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.60
- Attack rating (Mallorca / Cordoba)
- 0.98 / 1.22
- Defence rating (Mallorca / Cordoba)
- 0.67 / 1.13
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Mallorca vs Cordoba score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Mallorca goals. Columns: Cordoba goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Mallorca vs Cordoba goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 51%
- No goals (0–0)
- 9%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Mallorca vs Cordoba
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Mallorca | 50% | 2.01 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.97 | |
| Cordoba | 25% | 3.98 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 48% | 2.08 |
| Under 2.5 | 52% | 1.93 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 51% | 1.96 |
| No | 49% | 2.04 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Mallorca or draw) | 75% | 1.34 |
| 12 (either side) | 75% | 1.34 | |
| X2 (draw or Cordoba) | 50% | 1.99 | |
| Handicap -1 | Mallorca win by 2+ | 28% | 3.51 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Mallorca and Cordoba recent form
Mallorca
2W 3D 1L
Cordoba
3W 1D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Mallorca at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 5-0-1
- Win rate
- 83%
- Goals for / match
- 2.00
- Goals against / match
- 0.50
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 6
- They have won 6 of their 12 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 0.5 on the road.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 12 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 12 matches.
Cordoba away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-1-4
- Win rate
- 29%
- Goals for / match
- 1.57
- Goals against / match
- 2.00
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 7
- They have won 6 of their 13 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 13 matches.
- 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Mallorca at home only, Cordoba away only.
Mallorca vs Cordoba head-to-head
Last 4 meetings: Mallorca 2 · draws 1 · Cordoba 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019-03-31 | Cordoba | 3-2 | Mallorca | Segunda División |
| 2018-11-11 | Mallorca | 3-0 | Cordoba | Segunda División |
| 2017-04-23 | Mallorca | 1-1 | Cordoba | Segunda División |
| 2016-11-11 | Cordoba | 0-2 | Mallorca | Segunda División |
Other Matchday 14 fixtures
- Leganes vs Burgos 2026-11-13
- Real Valladolid vs Castellón — team news & stats 2026-11-14
- Real Sociedad II vs Sporting Gijon 2026-11-14
- Almeria v FC Andorra — match page 2026-11-14
- Real Oviedo vs Girona 2026-11-14
- Tenerife v AD Ceuta FC — match page 2026-11-15
- Granada vs Las Palmas — team news & stats 2026-11-15
- Eibar v Cadiz — match page 2026-11-15
Before and after this match
- Mallorca, previous: FC Andorra – Mallorca, 2026-11-08
- Mallorca, next: Alcoyano vs Mallorca: odds and pick
- Cordoba, previous: Cordoba vs AD Ceuta FC prediction