Almeria vs FC Andorra preview
In the match between Almeria and FC Andorra, the 1X2 probabilities show Almeria at 65%, while FC Andorra sits at 14%. The most likely scoreline is 2-0, with a 10% chance of occurring. Almeria's expected goals are 2.25 compared to FC Andorra's 0.99, indicating a strong attacking performance from Almeria.
However, the confidence grade is C, which suggests uncertainty. While Over 2.5 goals has a 63% likelihood and both teams to score is at 57%, any unexpected defensive resilience from FC Andorra could impact these outcomes. Almeria's recent form is strong, but FC Andorra's recent results show some potential for surprises.
Almeria vs FC Andorra: model vs market
| Source | Almeria | Draw | FC Andorra |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 65% | 21% | 14% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 65% | 21% | 14% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.19 vs 0.92.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Almeria and FC Andorra expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.11
- Attack rating (Almeria / FC Andorra)
- 1.29 / 1.07
- Defence rating (Almeria / FC Andorra)
- 0.73 / 1.15
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Almeria vs FC Andorra score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Almeria goals. Columns: FC Andorra goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Almeria vs FC Andorra goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 54%
- No goals (0–0)
- 5%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Almeria vs FC Andorra
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Almeria | 65% | 1.53 |
| Draw | 21% | 4.77 | |
| FC Andorra | 14% | 7.26 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 60% | 1.66 |
| Under 2.5 | 40% | 2.51 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 54% | 1.84 |
| No | 46% | 2.20 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Almeria or draw) | 86% | 1.16 |
| 12 (either side) | 79% | 1.27 | |
| X2 (draw or FC Andorra) | 35% | 2.88 | |
| Handicap -1 | Almeria win by 2+ | 43% | 2.34 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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Almeria and FC Andorra recent form
Almeria
4W 2D 0L
FC Andorra
2W 2D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Almeria at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 5-1-0
- Win rate
- 83%
- Goals for / match
- 2.50
- Goals against / match
- 0.83
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 6
- They have won 9 of their 13 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
- They average 2.5 goals per game at home against 1.3 on the road.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 13 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 7 matches.
- 37% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
FC Andorra away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-2-3
- Win rate
- 17%
- Goals for / match
- 1.17
- Goals against / match
- 1.83
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 6
- They have won 3 of their 12 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They average 1.7 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 12 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: Almeria at home only, FC Andorra away only.
Almeria vs FC Andorra head-to-head
Last 2 meetings: Almeria 2 · draws 0 · FC Andorra 0.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-13 | Almeria | 3-2 | FC Andorra | Segunda División |
| 2025-12-06 | FC Andorra | 1-2 | Almeria | Segunda División |
Other Matchday 14 fixtures
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- Mallorca vs Cordoba — team news & stats 2026-11-14
- Real Oviedo vs Girona 2026-11-14
- Tenerife v AD Ceuta FC — match page 2026-11-15
- Granada vs Las Palmas — team news & stats 2026-11-15
- Eibar v Cadiz — match page 2026-11-15
Before and after this match
- Almeria, previous: Girona vs Almeria: odds and pick
- FC Andorra, previous: FC Andorra – Mallorca, 2026-11-08