Leganes vs Albacete preview
In the upcoming match between Leganes and Albacete, the 1X2 probabilities show Leganes at 45% and Albacete at 28%. The most likely scoreline predicted is 2-1, which occurs at a rate of 9%. Leganes has struggled recently, recording six games without a win, while Albacete has won two of their last three matches.
The expected goals are close, with Leganes at 1.38 and Albacete at 1.28. There is a 49% chance of Over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance for both teams to score. However, the recent form of Leganes could affect their performance, making it possible for Albacete to capitalize on any weaknesses.
Leganes vs Albacete: model vs market
| Source | Leganes | Draw | Albacete |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 38% | 29% | 33% |
| Market | 47% | 27% | 26% |
| Published | 45% | 27% | 28% |
| Edge | -2% | 0% | +2% |
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.06, recorded — the top price across the 7 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -7.6% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
Leganes vs Albacete odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Leganes, 6 snapshots since 2026-11-01.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Leganes | 2.06 | 1.99 | -0.07 |
| Draw | 3.52 | 3.52 | +0.00 |
| Albacete | 3.68 | 3.57 | -0.11 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Leganes and Albacete expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.65
- Attack rating (Leganes / Albacete)
- 0.74 / 0.83
- Defence rating (Leganes / Albacete)
- 1.30 / 1.27
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Leganes vs Albacete score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Leganes goals. Columns: Albacete goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Leganes vs Albacete goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 55%
- No goals (0–0)
- 8%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Leganes vs Albacete
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Leganes | 45% | 2.23 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.69 | |
| Albacete | 28% | 3.56 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 49% | 2.02 |
| Under 2.5 | 51% | 1.98 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 55% | 1.81 |
| No | 45% | 2.23 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Leganes or draw) | 72% | 1.39 |
| 12 (either side) | 73% | 1.37 | |
| X2 (draw or Albacete) | 55% | 1.81 | |
| Handicap -1 | Leganes win by 2+ | 18% | 5.50 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Leganes and Albacete recent form
Leganes
0W 1D 5L
Albacete
2W 0D 4L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Leganes at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-1-2
- Win rate
- 40%
- Goals for / match
- 1.00
- Goals against / match
- 1.20
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 5
- They have won 3 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 0.6 goals per match.
- They average 1.0 goals per game at home against 0.3 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 11 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 11 matches.
- 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Albacete away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-1-5
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 0.50
- Goals against / match
- 2.33
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 6
- They have won 1 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
- They average 1.0 goals per game at home against 0.5 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 11 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: Leganes at home only, Albacete away only.
Leganes vs Albacete head-to-head
Last 3 meetings: Leganes 2 · draws 0 · Albacete 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-11 | Leganes | 2-1 | Albacete | Segunda División |
| 2026-01-04 | Albacete | 1-3 | Leganes | Segunda División |
| 2025-12-04 | Leganes | 1-2 | Albacete | Copa del Rey |
Other Matchday 13 fixtures
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- Cadiz vs Real Oviedo 2026-11-07
- Cordoba v AD Ceuta FC — match page 2026-11-07
- Granada vs Tenerife — team news & stats 2026-11-07
- FC Andorra vs Mallorca 2026-11-08
- Girona vs Almeria 2026-11-08
- Las Palmas v Eldense — match page 2026-11-08
Before and after this match
- Leganes, previous: Real Valladolid – Leganes, 2026-11-02
- Leganes, next: Trival Valderas vs Leganes prediction
- Albacete, previous: Calvo Sotelo – Albacete, 2026-11-04