Next fixtures in Scotland
9 fixtures on 10 October 2026 — every row opens the full prediction
| Match | League | Pick | Edge | Model | Market | Conf. | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heart Of Midlothian vs ST MirrenScotland PremiershipC | Scotland Premiership | Heart Of MidlothianOur prob 62%Best odds 1.47 | -12% | 53% | 65% | C | 1.47 |
| Rangers vs KilmarnockScotland PremiershipC | Scotland Premiership | RangersOur prob 75%Best odds 1.17 | -30% | 52% | 82% | C | 1.17 |
| Dundee Utd vs HibernianScotland PremiershipC | Scotland Premiership | Dundee UtdOur prob 38%Best odds 2.73 | +11% | 46% | 35% | C | 2.73 |
| Falkirk vs DundeeScotland PremiershipC | Scotland Premiership | FalkirkOur prob 42%Best odds 2.10 | -17% | 29% | 46% | C | 2.10 |
| Livingston vs PartickScotland ChampionshipC | Scotland Championship | LivingstonOur prob 37%Best odds 2.42 | -13% | 27% | 40% | C | 2.42 |
| Inverness CT vs StenhousemuirScotland ChampionshipC | Scotland Championship | Inverness CTOur prob 44%Best odds 1.77 | -33% | 19% | 52% | C | 1.77 |
| Raith Rovers vs Queen's ParkScotland ChampionshipC | Scotland Championship | Raith RoversOur prob 63%Best odds 1.50 | +9% | 70% | 61% | C | 1.50 |
| Ayr Utd vs DunfermlineScotland ChampionshipC | Scotland Championship | DunfermlineOur prob 39%Best odds 2.30 | -7% | 34% | 41% | C | 2.30 |
| Arbroath vs MortonScotland ChampionshipC | Scotland Championship | ArbroathOur prob 50%Best odds 1.81 | -7% | 45% | 52% | C | 1.81 |
Our prob = the probability we publish for that pick — the model blended with the de-vigged market price where one is recorded; the Model and Market columns are the two inputs behind it. Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability; grade A/B = the pick is backed by both/one team's xG record. Best odds = the top bookmaker price on our pick, taking each book at its own last update.
Scotland — country trends
How matches actually ended in the latest season of each competition across Scotland’s covered competitions: 211 played matches. A record of results, not a forecast.
Change is in percentage points against the latest season of each competition season (549 played matches).
Competitions in Scotland
3 competitions covered — squad size, matches played this season and fixtures inside our publication window, with how their matches ended.
-
Scotland · league- Teams
- 10
- Played
- 42 of 180
- Upcoming
- 60
- Home wins
- 43%
- Over 2.5
- 29%
- BTTS
- 36%
-
Scotland · cup- Teams
- 0
- Played
- 0 of 0
- Upcoming
- 60
- Home wins
- 52%
- Over 2.5
- 70%
- BTTS
- 54%
-
Scotland · league- Teams
- 12
- Played
- 42 of 198
- Upcoming
- 60
- Home wins
- 38%
- Over 2.5
- 52%
- BTTS
- 52%
Played / scheduled count this season’s matches; Upcoming counts the fixtures currently inside our publication window. Home wins, Over 2.5 and BTTS are shares of each competition’s played matches in its latest season with results.
Top teams in Scotland by model rating
The attack and defence rates our model feeds into every prediction, as of the last update. Net = attack − defence, in goals per match.
- Net rating
- +0.80
- Attack
- 1.42
- Defence
- 0.62
- Net rating
- +0.50
- Attack
- 1.44
- Defence
- 0.95
- Net rating
- +0.48
- Attack
- 1.74
- Defence
- 1.27
- Net rating
- +0.41
- Attack
- 1.05
- Defence
- 0.64
- Net rating
- +0.34
- Attack
- 1.42
- Defence
- 1.08
- Net rating
- +0.30
- Attack
- 1.22
- Defence
- 0.92
Rates are decay-weighted over each team’s last 15 completed matches — xG where the window is xG-backed, goals otherwise — and shrunk towards the league average; a higher attack and a lower defence rate are better. Form: last five results, newest first.
Recent results in Scotland
What happened next to what we predicted
- Livingston vs Ayr Utd1–2
- Partick vs Arbroath3–0
- Morton vs Raith Rovers1–2
- Inverness CT vs Morton2–0
- Raith Rovers vs Livingston0–2
- Ayr Utd vs Stenhousemuir0–1