Today’s matches in Uganda
5 fixtures today — every row opens the full prediction
| Match | League | Pick | Edge | Ours | Market | Conf. | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SC Villa vs Blacks PowerUganda Premier LeagueC | Uganda Premier League | SC VillaOur prob 86% | — | 86% | — | C | — |
| Police vs Kigezi HomeBoyzUganda Premier LeagueC | Uganda Premier League | PoliceOur prob 50% | — | 50% | — | C | — |
| UPDF vs URAUganda Premier LeagueC | Uganda Premier League | UPDFOur prob 43% | — | 43% | — | C | — |
| NEC vs NtugasazeUganda Premier LeagueC | Uganda Premier League | NECOur prob 77% | — | 77% | — | C | — |
| Express vs KatakaUganda Premier LeagueC | Uganda Premier League | ExpressOur prob 63% | — | 63% | — | C | — |
Our prob = the probability we publish for that pick (the Ours column) — our model blended with the de-vigged market price where one is recorded; Market = that de-vigged market probability. Edge = Ours minus Market; grade A/B = the pick is backed by both/one team's xG record. Best odds = the top bookmaker price on our pick, taking each book at its own last update.
Uganda — country trends
How matches actually ended in the 2026/27 across Uganda’s covered competitions: 58 played matches. A record of results, not a forecast.
Change is in percentage points against the 2025/26 season (237 played matches).
Competitions in Uganda
1 competition covered — squad size, matches played this season and fixtures inside our publication window.
-
Uganda · league- Teams
- 18
- Played
- 58 of 153
- Upcoming
- 60
Played / scheduled count this season’s matches; Upcoming counts the fixtures currently inside our publication window.
Top teams in Uganda by model rating
The attack and defence rates our model feeds into every prediction, as of the last update. Net = attack − defence, in goals per match.
- Net rating
- +1.31
- Attack
- 1.99
- Defence
- 0.68
- Net rating
- +1.15
- Attack
- 1.64
- Defence
- 0.49
- Net rating
- +0.59
- Attack
- 1.14
- Defence
- 0.55
- Net rating
- +0.51
- Attack
- 1.44
- Defence
- 0.94
- Net rating
- +0.42
- Attack
- 1.09
- Defence
- 0.67
- Net rating
- +0.40
- Attack
- 1.23
- Defence
- 0.83
Rates are decay-weighted over each team’s last 15 completed matches — xG where the window is xG-backed, goals otherwise — and shrunk towards the league average; a higher attack and a lower defence rate are better. Form: last five results, newest first.
Recent results in Uganda
What happened next to what we predicted