Flag of Ukraine

Europe · 2026/27 season

Ukraine football predictions

Model-driven 1X2, over/under, BTTS and correct-score probabilities for every fixture we cover in Ukraine — 2 competitions, 32 clubs, 112 fixtures predicted so far this season. Built from expected-goals ratings and de-vigged market odds, never from tips.

Competitions 2 covered in Ukraine
Teams 32 in the 2026/27 season
Matches played 132 of 480 scheduled this season
Upcoming fixtures 60 in our publication window

Next fixtures in Ukraine

2 fixtures on 9 October 2026 — every row opens the full prediction

Fixtures in Ukraine with our pick, edge and best market odds
MatchLeaguePickEdgeModelMarketConf.Best odds
Metal Kharkiv vs Viktoriya MykolaivkaPersha LigaC Persha Liga DrawOur prob 36% — 36% — C —
Veres Rivne vs Shakhtar DonetskUkraine Premier LeagueC Ukraine Premier League Shakhtar DonetskOur prob 69%Best odds 1.30 -15% 58% 73% C 1.30

Our prob = the probability we publish for that pick — the model blended with the de-vigged market price where one is recorded; the Model and Market columns are the two inputs behind it. Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability; grade A/B = the pick is backed by both/one team's xG record. Best odds = the top bookmaker price on our pick, taking each book at its own last update.

Ukraine — country trends

How matches actually ended in the 2026/27 across Ukraine’s covered competitions: 132 played matches. A record of results, not a forecast.

Home wins 43% 57 of 132 matches +4 pts vs 2025/26 (481)
Away wins 27% 36 of 132 matches -7 pts vs 2025/26 (481)
Over 2.5 goals 48% 63 of 132 matches +3 pts vs 2025/26 (481)
Both teams scored 45% 60 of 132 matches +4 pts vs 2025/26 (481)

Change is in percentage points against the 2025/26 season (481 played matches).

Competitions in Ukraine

2 competitions covered — squad size, matches played this season and fixtures inside our publication window, with how their matches ended.

All competitions

Played / scheduled count this season’s matches; Upcoming counts the fixtures currently inside our publication window. Home wins, Over 2.5 and BTTS are shares of each competition’s played matches in its latest season with results.

Top teams in Ukraine by model rating

The attack and defence rates our model feeds into every prediction, as of the last update. Net = attack − defence, in goals per match.

Ukraine Premier League
#2
Net rating
+0.87
Attack
1.66
Defence
0.79
Form NextChornomorets (A) · 10 Oct
Ukraine Premier League
#3
Net rating
+0.72
Attack
1.60
Defence
0.88
Form NextDynamo Kyiv (A) · 11 Oct
Ukraine Premier League
#4
Net rating
+0.66
Attack
1.22
Defence
0.56
Form NextZorya Luhansk (H) · 12 Oct
Ukraine Premier League
#5
Net rating
+0.65
Attack
1.70
Defence
1.05
Form NextBukovyna (A) · 11 Oct
Persha Liga
#6
Net rating
+0.56
Attack
1.70
Defence
1.14
Form NextPolissya II (A) · 12 Oct

Rates are decay-weighted over each team’s last 15 completed matches — xG where the window is xG-backed, goals otherwise — and shrunk towards the league average; a higher attack and a lower defence rate are better. Form: last five results, newest first.

Recent results in Ukraine

What happened next to what we predicted