Sheffield Wednesday vs Cambridge United preview
In the League One fixture between Sheffield Wednesday and Cambridge United, the 1X2 probabilities show Sheffield Wednesday at 46%, while Cambridge United sits at 26%. The most likely scoreline predicted is 2-1, with a 9% chance. Sheffield Wednesday has an expected goals figure of 1.59 compared to Cambridge United's 1.15, indicating a potential edge in attacking performance.
However, the confidence grade is C, suggesting uncertainty in the outcome. Both teams to score has a probability of 56%, and Over 2.5 goals stands at 51%. This means while the match could see multiple goals, the recent form of both teams, with Sheffield Wednesday's mixed results and Cambridge's slightly better form, could lead to unexpected outcomes.
Sheffield Wednesday vs Cambridge United: model vs market
| Source | Sheffield Wednesday | Draw | Cambridge United |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 46% | 27% | 26% |
| Market | 47% | 25% | 28% |
| Published | 47% | 26% | 27% |
| Edge | -1% | +2% | -1% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.59 vs 1.15.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.95, recorded — the top price across the 1 books we record, each at its own last update.
Sheffield Wednesday and Cambridge United expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.73
- Attack rating (Sheffield Wednesday / Cambridge United)
- 1.21 / 1.11
- Defence rating (Sheffield Wednesday / Cambridge United)
- 0.88 / 0.88
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Sheffield Wednesday vs Cambridge United score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Sheffield Wednesday goals. Columns: Cambridge United goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Sheffield Wednesday vs Cambridge United goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 56%
- No goals (0–0)
- 8%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Sheffield Wednesday vs Cambridge United
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Sheffield Wednesday | 47% | 2.13 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.89 | |
| Cambridge United | 27% | 3.66 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 51% | 1.94 |
| Under 2.5 | 49% | 2.06 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 56% | 1.80 |
| No | 44% | 2.25 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Sheffield Wednesday or draw) | 73% | 1.38 |
| 12 (either side) | 74% | 1.35 | |
| X2 (draw or Cambridge United) | 53% | 1.88 | |
| Handicap -1 | Sheffield Wednesday win by 2+ | 24% | 4.09 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
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Sheffield Wednesday and Cambridge United recent form
Sheffield Wednesday
2W 3D 1L
Cambridge United
3W 3D 0L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Sheffield Wednesday at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-2-1
- Win rate
- 40%
- Goals for / match
- 2.40
- Goals against / match
- 0.60
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 5
- They have won 5 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 2.2 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 9 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 9 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
- 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Cambridge United away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-3-0
- Win rate
- 40%
- Goals for / match
- 1.60
- Goals against / match
- 1.20
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 5
- They have won 5 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- 40% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Sheffield Wednesday at home only, Cambridge United away only.
Other Matchday 9 fixtures
- Oxford United vs Stockport County 2026-10-27
Before and after this match
- Sheffield Wednesday, previous: Doncaster – Sheffield Wednesday, 2026-10-24
- Sheffield Wednesday, next: Oldham – Sheffield Wednesday, 2026-11-07
- Cambridge United, previous: Cambridge United vs Plymouth prediction
- Cambridge United, next: Bristol Rovers vs Cambridge United prediction