Leyton Orient vs Cambridge United preview
In the fixture between Leyton Orient and Cambridge United, the 1X2 probabilities show Leyton Orient at 36%, while Cambridge United is at 37%. The most likely scoreline from our model is 0-1, with an 8% chance. Leyton Orient has expected goals of 1.33, compared to Cambridge United's 1.20, suggesting a tight match.
Both teams to score has a probability of 53%, while Over 2.5 goals sits at 46%. Leyton Orient's recent form includes two losses and a win, while Cambridge United has a mix of results with two wins and two draws. This recent performance could influence the match outcome and challenge the expected scoreline.
Leyton Orient vs Cambridge United: model vs market
| Source | Leyton Orient | Draw | Cambridge United |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 38% | 29% | 32% |
| Market | 35% | 27% | 38% |
| Published | 36% | 28% | 37% |
| Edge | +1% | +1% | -1% |
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.47, recorded — the top price across the 8 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -9.7% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
Leyton Orient vs Cambridge United odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Cambridge United, 3 snapshots since 2026-10-26.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Leyton Orient | 2.67 | 2.67 | +0.00 |
| Draw | 3.44 | 3.44 | +0.00 |
| Cambridge United | 2.45 | 2.45 | +0.00 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Leyton Orient and Cambridge United expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.53
- Attack rating (Leyton Orient / Cambridge United)
- 0.87 / 1.13
- Defence rating (Leyton Orient / Cambridge United)
- 0.91 / 1.03
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Leyton Orient vs Cambridge United score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Leyton Orient goals. Columns: Cambridge United goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Leyton Orient vs Cambridge United goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 53%
- No goals (0–0)
- 9%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Leyton Orient vs Cambridge United
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Leyton Orient | 36% | 2.79 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.62 | |
| Cambridge United | 37% | 2.73 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 46% | 2.15 |
| Under 2.5 | 54% | 1.87 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 53% | 1.90 |
| No | 47% | 2.12 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Leyton Orient or draw) | 63% | 1.58 |
| 12 (either side) | 72% | 1.38 | |
| X2 (draw or Cambridge United) | 64% | 1.56 | |
| Handicap -1 | Cambridge United win by 2+ | 14% | 7.11 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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Leyton Orient and Cambridge United recent form
Leyton Orient
2W 1D 3L
Cambridge United
2W 3D 1L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Leyton Orient at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-0-4
- Win rate
- 33%
- Goals for / match
- 1.17
- Goals against / match
- 1.67
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 6
- They have won 4 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 11 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 11 matches.
Cambridge United away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-3-0
- Win rate
- 40%
- Goals for / match
- 1.60
- Goals against / match
- 1.20
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 5
- They have won 5 of their 12 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- 43% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Leyton Orient at home only, Cambridge United away only.
Other Matchday 14 fixtures
- Bradford vs Huddersfield 2026-10-31
- Plymouth v Reading — match page 2026-10-31
- Leicester vs Stevenage 2026-10-31
- Wigan v Bromley — match page 2026-10-31
- Barnsley vs Oxford United — team news & stats 2026-10-31
- Milton Keynes Dons vs Doncaster 2026-10-31
- Peterborough v Luton — match page 2026-10-31
- Wycombe vs Burton Albion — team news & stats 2026-10-31
Before and after this match
- Leyton Orient, previous: Burton Albion v Leyton Orient analysis
- Leyton Orient, next: Leyton Orient v Harborough Town analysis
- Cambridge United, previous: Sheffield Wednesday – Cambridge United, 2026-10-27
- Cambridge United, next: Bristol Rovers vs Cambridge United prediction