Wigan vs Bromley preview
Wigan faces Bromley with a 45% chance to win compared to 24% for Bromley. The most likely scoreline is 1-0, which occurs 13% of the time in our model. Wigan has an expected goals figure of 1.31, while Bromley is at 0.90.
Both teams to score stands at 45%, and Over 2.5 goals is at 38%. Wigan's recent form shows 1 win in their last 5 matches, while Bromley has 1 win in their last 5 as well. A low-scoring game could change the outcome, especially if either team improves their finishing.
Wigan vs Bromley: model vs market
| Source | Wigan | Draw | Bromley |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 45% | 31% | 24% |
| Market | 50% | 26% | 24% |
| Published | 49% | 27% | 24% |
| Edge | -1% | +1% | 0% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.31 vs 0.90.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.91, recorded — the top price across the 7 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -7.0% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
Wigan vs Bromley odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Wigan, 2 snapshots since 2026-10-26.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wigan | 1.85 | 1.85 | +0.00 |
| Draw | 3.60 | 3.60 | +0.00 |
| Bromley | 3.80 | 3.80 | +0.00 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Wigan and Bromley expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.21
- Attack rating (Wigan / Bromley)
- 0.62 / 0.75
- Defence rating (Wigan / Bromley)
- 1.02 / 1.43
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Wigan vs Bromley score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Wigan goals. Columns: Bromley goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Wigan vs Bromley goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 45%
- No goals (0–0)
- 12%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Wigan vs Bromley
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Wigan | 49% | 2.05 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.71 | |
| Bromley | 24% | 4.11 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 38% | 2.64 |
| Under 2.5 | 62% | 1.61 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 45% | 2.24 |
| No | 55% | 1.80 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Wigan or draw) | 76% | 1.32 |
| 12 (either side) | 73% | 1.37 | |
| X2 (draw or Bromley) | 51% | 1.95 | |
| Handicap -1 | Wigan win by 2+ | 21% | 4.69 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 2 |  |
First deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 3 |  |
100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 4 |  |
200% first deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Wigan and Bromley recent form
Wigan
1W 1D 4L
Bromley
1W 2D 3L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Wigan at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-0-3
- Win rate
- 40%
- Goals for / match
- 0.80
- Goals against / match
- 1.60
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 5
- They have won 2 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 11 matches.
Bromley away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-1-3
- Win rate
- 20%
- Goals for / match
- 1.20
- Goals against / match
- 2.40
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 5
- They have won 2 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They average 1.2 goals per game on the road against 0.7 at home.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 11 matches.
- 43% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Wigan at home only, Bromley away only.
Other Matchday 14 fixtures
- Bradford vs Huddersfield 2026-10-31
- Leicester vs Stevenage 2026-10-31
- Barnsley vs Oxford United — team news & stats 2026-10-31
- Milton Keynes Dons vs Doncaster 2026-10-31
- Peterborough v Luton — match page 2026-10-31
- Wycombe vs Burton Albion — team news & stats 2026-10-31
- Mansfield Town vs Notts County 2026-10-31
- Stockport County v AFC Wimbledon — match page 2026-10-31
Before and after this match
- Wigan, previous: Leicester vs Wigan prediction
- Wigan, next: Boreham Wood vs Wigan: odds and pick
- Bromley, previous: Milton Keynes Dons v Bromley analysis
- Bromley, next: Bromley vs Rotherham prediction