Updated

England FA Cup · 1/128-finals

Bromley vs Rotherham

· Copperjax Community Stadium, Bromley

Full time0 – 2

Alin prediction was Bromley to win

Cblended with market oddsMissed

Predicted score 2 – 1

8% — likeliest score with our pick

Win probability
BromleyDrawRotherham

Bromley vs Rotherham: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
SourceBromleyDrawRotherham
Model34%25%41%
Market46%25%29%
Published43%25%32%
Edge-3%0%+3%

Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page.

Bromley vs Rotherham odds movement

Median bookmaker price on Bromley, 3 snapshots since 2026-11-06.

Opened 2.10Now 2.01 -0.10
Median 1X2 prices, first and latest snapshot
SelectionFirstLatestMove
Bromley2.102.01-0.10
Draw3.623.65+0.03
Rotherham3.083.24+0.16

A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.

Bromley and Rotherham expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

1.56Bromley
1.73Rotherham
Total expected goals
3.29
Attack rating (Bromley / Rotherham)
0.74 / 0.84
Defence rating (Bromley / Rotherham)
1.38 / 1.16

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

Bromley vs Rotherham score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 4.7% 5.4% 5.6% 3.2% 2.0% 1 4.8% 11.1% 8.7% 5.0% 3.2% 2 4.6% 7.9% 6.8% 3.9% 2.5% 3 2.4% 4.1% 3.5% 2.0% 1.3% 4+ 1.3% 2.3% 1.9% 1.1% 0.7%

Rows: Bromley goals. Columns: Rotherham goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

Bromley vs Rotherham goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 95%
Over 1.5 85%
Over 2.5 64%
Over 3.5 42%
Both teams to score
66%
No goals (0–0)
5%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for Bromley vs Rotherham

Published probability and fair odds per market
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
1X2Bromley43%2.32
Draw25%3.96
Rotherham32%3.15
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.564%1.57
Under 2.536%2.76
Both teams to scoreYes66%1.52
No34%2.94
Double chance1X (Bromley or draw)68%1.46
12 (either side)75%1.34
X2 (draw or Rotherham)57%1.76
Handicap -1Bromley win by 2+17%5.92
Push (exactly one goal)17%—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

Bromley and Rotherham recent form

Bromley 0W 1D 5L
Rotherham 0W 2D 4L

Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.

Expected lineups

Bromley lineup · 4-2-3-1

  1. 30 S. George
  2. 17 J. Mendy
  3. 3 R. Taylor
  4. 21 Kamari Antonio Grant
  5. 12 Marcus Lemar Ifill
  6. 22 K. Conteh
  7. 6 G. Saville
  8. 19 M. Miller
  9. 28 J. McKiernan
  10. 10 J. Jones
  11. 20 V. Adeboyejo

Bench: G. Smith, C. Headman, E. Archer, M. Cheek, M. Pinnock, N. Kabamba, W. Hondermarck, C. Whitely, Freddie Cowin

Rotherham lineup · 3-5-2

  1. 1 T. Cann
  2. 5 K. Ngwenya
  3. 14 Sonny Aljofree
  4. 12 D. Hall
  5. 33 B. Williams
  6. 15 Jayce Fitzgerald
  7. 4 J. Austerfield
  8. 28 Brandon Ashley Cover
  9. 23 A. Nemane
  10. 19 George Sebine
  11. 9 T. Bradshaw

Bench: J. Eyestone, E. Adegboyega, L. Agbaire, H. Douglas, Dean Gardner

Bromley vs Rotherham head-to-head

Last 1 meetings: Bromley 0 · draws 0 · Rotherham 1.

BromleyDrawsRotherham
Previous meetings
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
2021-11-06Rotherham3-0BromleyFA Cup

Other 1/128-finals fixtures

Before and after this match