Sheffield Wednesday vs Blackpool preview
Sheffield Wednesday faces Blackpool with a 61% probability of winning according to our model, compared to Blackpool's 18%. The most likely scoreline is 2-1, which aligns with the expected goals of 2.19 for Sheffield Wednesday and 1.13 for Blackpool.
While the model suggests a strong chance for Over 2.5 goals at 64% and both teams to score at 61%, recent form could influence the outcome. Sheffield Wednesday's last six matches show two wins, while Blackpool has only one win in their last six. This disparity in form may affect the match dynamics, potentially leading to a different result than predicted.
Sheffield Wednesday vs Blackpool: model vs market
| Source | Sheffield Wednesday | Draw | Blackpool |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 61% | 22% | 18% |
| Market | 58% | 23% | 20% |
| Published | 58% | 22% | 19% |
| Edge | +1% | 0% | -1% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.19 vs 1.13.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.65, recorded — the top price across the 6 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -3.8% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
Sheffield Wednesday vs Blackpool odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Sheffield Wednesday, 2 snapshots since 2026-10-26.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sheffield Wednesday | 1.62 | 1.62 | +0.00 |
| Draw | 4.10 | 4.10 | +0.00 |
| Blackpool | 4.72 | 4.72 | +0.00 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Sheffield Wednesday and Blackpool expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.32
- Attack rating (Sheffield Wednesday / Blackpool)
- 1.12 / 1.01
- Defence rating (Sheffield Wednesday / Blackpool)
- 0.94 / 1.33
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Sheffield Wednesday vs Blackpool score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Sheffield Wednesday goals. Columns: Blackpool goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Sheffield Wednesday vs Blackpool goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 61%
- No goals (0–0)
- 5%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Sheffield Wednesday vs Blackpool
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Sheffield Wednesday | 58% | 1.71 |
| Draw | 22% | 4.45 | |
| Blackpool | 19% | 5.20 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 64% | 1.55 |
| Under 2.5 | 36% | 2.81 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 61% | 1.64 |
| No | 39% | 2.56 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Sheffield Wednesday or draw) | 81% | 1.24 |
| 12 (either side) | 78% | 1.29 | |
| X2 (draw or Blackpool) | 42% | 2.40 | |
| Handicap -1 | Sheffield Wednesday win by 2+ | 39% | 2.57 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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Sheffield Wednesday and Blackpool recent form
Sheffield Wednesday
1W 3D 2L
Blackpool
1W 1D 4L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Sheffield Wednesday at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-2-1
- Win rate
- 40%
- Goals for / match
- 2.40
- Goals against / match
- 0.60
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 5
- They have won 5 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
- They average 2.4 goals per game at home against 1.3 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 11 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 11 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
- 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Blackpool away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-0-4
- Win rate
- 20%
- Goals for / match
- 0.80
- Goals against / match
- 1.80
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 5
- They have won 3 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They average 2.2 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
League matches this season before kick-off: Sheffield Wednesday at home only, Blackpool away only.
Other Matchday 14 fixtures
- Leicester vs Stevenage 2026-10-31
- Wigan v Bromley — match page 2026-10-31
- Barnsley vs Oxford United — team news & stats 2026-10-31
- Milton Keynes Dons vs Doncaster 2026-10-31
- Peterborough v Luton — match page 2026-10-31
- Wycombe vs Burton Albion — team news & stats 2026-10-31
- Mansfield Town vs Notts County 2026-10-31
- Stockport County v AFC Wimbledon — match page 2026-10-31
Before and after this match
- Sheffield Wednesday, previous: Sheffield Wednesday – Cambridge United, 2026-10-27
- Sheffield Wednesday, next: Oldham – Sheffield Wednesday, 2026-11-08
- Blackpool, previous: Blackpool v Mansfield Town analysis
- Blackpool, next: AFC Hornchurch vs Blackpool: odds and pick