Vikingur Reykjavik vs Fram Reykjavik preview
Vikingur Reykjavik hosts Fram Reykjavik with a 62% probability of winning compared to Fram's 20%. The most likely scoreline is 2-1, which aligns with expected goals of 2.60 for Vikingur and 1.63 for Fram. Vikingur's recent form shows 4 wins and 2 draws, while Fram has struggled with 4 losses and 2 draws.
Despite these numbers, the match could see a different outcome if Fram improves their performance or if Vikingur fails to capitalize on their chances. The model suggests a high likelihood of Over 2.5 goals at 79% and both teams to score at 75%. However, the confidence grade is C, indicating some uncertainty in the predictions.
Vikingur Reykjavik vs Fram Reykjavik: model vs market
| Source | Vikingur Reykjavik | Draw | Fram Reykjavik |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 58% | 19% | 23% |
| Market | 63% | 19% | 18% |
| Published | 62% | 19% | 19% |
| Edge | -1% | 0% | +1% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.60 vs 1.63.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.52, recorded — the top price across the 10 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -6.3% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
Vikingur Reykjavik vs Fram Reykjavik odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Vikingur Reykjavik, 8 snapshots since 2026-10-20.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Vikingur Reykjavik | 1.47 | 1.44 | -0.03 |
| Draw | 4.95 | 4.75 | -0.20 |
| Fram Reykjavik | 5.00 | 5.00 | +0.00 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Vikingur Reykjavik and Fram Reykjavik expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 4.23
- Attack rating (Vikingur Reykjavik / Fram Reykjavik)
- 1.08 / 1.10
- Defence rating (Vikingur Reykjavik / Fram Reykjavik)
- 0.93 / 1.19
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Vikingur Reykjavik vs Fram Reykjavik score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Vikingur Reykjavik goals. Columns: Fram Reykjavik goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Vikingur Reykjavik vs Fram Reykjavik goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 75%
- No goals (0–0)
- 2%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Vikingur Reykjavik vs Fram Reykjavik
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Vikingur Reykjavik | 62% | 1.62 |
| Draw | 19% | 5.22 | |
| Fram Reykjavik | 19% | 5.20 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 79% | 1.26 |
| Under 2.5 | 21% | 4.84 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 75% | 1.33 |
| No | 25% | 4.01 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Vikingur Reykjavik or draw) | 81% | 1.24 |
| 12 (either side) | 81% | 1.24 | |
| X2 (draw or Fram Reykjavik) | 38% | 2.61 | |
| Handicap -1 | Vikingur Reykjavik win by 2+ | 39% | 2.59 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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Vikingur Reykjavik and Fram Reykjavik recent form
Vikingur Reykjavik
3W 3D 0L
Fram Reykjavik
0W 3D 3L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Vikingur Reykjavik at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 9-4-0
- Win rate
- 69%
- Goals for / match
- 3.15
- Goals against / match
- 1.00
- Clean sheets
- 5 of 13
- They have won 19 of their 26 league games this season, scoring 3.0 goals per match.
- They have kept 8 clean sheets in 26 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 13 matches.
- They have converted 7 of 7 penalties (100%).
- 40% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Fram Reykjavik away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 7-4-1
- Win rate
- 58%
- Goals for / match
- 2.25
- Goals against / match
- 1.67
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 12
- They have won 13 of their 26 league games this season, scoring 2.4 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 26 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 26 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 4 penalties (100%).
- 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Vikingur Reykjavik at home only, Fram Reykjavik away only.
Vikingur Reykjavik vs Fram Reykjavik head-to-head
Last 10 meetings: Vikingur Reykjavik 7 · draws 3 · Fram Reykjavik 0.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-06 | Vikingur Reykjavik | 2-2 | Fram Reykjavik | Úrvalsdeild |
| 2026-06-21 | Fram Reykjavik | 0-5 | Vikingur Reykjavik | Úrvalsdeild |
| 2026-04-04 | Fram Reykjavik | 2-4 | Vikingur Reykjavik | Cup |
| 2026-01-24 | Vikingur Reykjavik | 1-1 | Fram Reykjavik | Reykjavik Cup |
| 2025-09-21 | Vikingur Reykjavik | 2-1 | Fram Reykjavik | Úrvalsdeild |
| 2025-07-27 | Fram Reykjavik | 2-2 | Vikingur Reykjavik | Úrvalsdeild |
| 2025-05-05 | Vikingur Reykjavik | 3-2 | Fram Reykjavik | Úrvalsdeild |
| 2024-06-30 | Vikingur Reykjavik | 2-1 | Fram Reykjavik | Úrvalsdeild |
| 2024-04-15 | Fram Reykjavik | 0-1 | Vikingur Reykjavik | Úrvalsdeild |
| 2023-09-03 | Fram Reykjavik | 2-3 | Vikingur Reykjavik | Úrvalsdeild |
Other Championship Group - 5 fixtures
- KR Reykjavik vs Breidablik 2026-10-24
- IA Akranes v Keflavik — match page 2026-10-24
Before and after this match
- Vikingur Reykjavik, previous: Breidablik vs Vikingur Reykjavik prediction
- Fram Reykjavik, previous: Fram Reykjavik v IA Akranes analysis