Jezero vs Buducnost Podgorica preview
In the Montenegro First League fixture, Jezero faces Buducnost Podgorica with 29% chances for Jezero to win, 27% for a draw, and 44% for Buducnost Podgorica to take the victory. The most likely scoreline is 1-2, occurring at a 9% probability.
Both teams show potential for scoring, with 53% for Over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score. Jezero's expected goals stand at 1.25, while Buducnost Podgorica's is at 1.57. Jezero's recent form includes 1 win and 4 draws in their last 6 matches, while Buducnost Podgorica has been stronger, winning 5 of their last 6. These factors could influence the outcome.
Jezero vs Buducnost Podgorica: model vs market
| Source | Jezero | Draw | Buducnost Podgorica |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 29% | 27% | 44% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 29% | 27% | 44% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.57 vs 1.25.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Jezero and Buducnost Podgorica expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.81
- Attack rating (Jezero / Buducnost Podgorica)
- 1.11 / 1.26
- Defence rating (Jezero / Buducnost Podgorica)
- 1.26 / 0.83
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Jezero vs Buducnost Podgorica score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Jezero goals. Columns: Buducnost Podgorica goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Jezero vs Buducnost Podgorica goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 58%
- No goals (0–0)
- 7%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Jezero vs Buducnost Podgorica
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Jezero | 29% | 3.42 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.68 | |
| Buducnost Podgorica | 44% | 2.30 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 53% | 1.87 |
| Under 2.5 | 47% | 2.15 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 58% | 1.74 |
| No | 42% | 2.36 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Jezero or draw) | 56% | 1.77 |
| 12 (either side) | 73% | 1.37 | |
| X2 (draw or Buducnost Podgorica) | 71% | 1.41 | |
| Handicap -1 | Buducnost Podgorica win by 2+ | 23% | 4.42 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Jezero and Buducnost Podgorica recent form
Jezero
1W 3D 2L
Buducnost Podgorica
4W 2D 0L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Jezero at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-3-1
- Win rate
- 43%
- Goals for / match
- 1.29
- Goals against / match
- 0.71
- Clean sheets
- 4 of 7
- They have won 3 of their 14 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 14 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 14 matches.
Buducnost Podgorica away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 4-1-2
- Win rate
- 57%
- Goals for / match
- 0.86
- Goals against / match
- 0.57
- Clean sheets
- 5 of 7
- They have won 7 of their 14 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They average 1.9 goals per game at home against 0.9 on the road.
- They have kept 8 clean sheets in 14 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 14 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Jezero at home only, Buducnost Podgorica away only.
Jezero vs Buducnost Podgorica head-to-head
Last 10 meetings: Jezero 2 · draws 3 · Buducnost Podgorica 5.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-10 | Buducnost Podgorica | 3-0 | Jezero | Montenegro First League |
| 2026-04-08 | Buducnost Podgorica | 2-0 | Jezero | Montenegro First League |
| 2025-12-10 | Jezero | 1-0 | Buducnost Podgorica | Montenegro First League |
| 2025-10-01 | Buducnost Podgorica | 1-1 | Jezero | Montenegro First League |
| 2025-08-04 | Jezero | 1-2 | Buducnost Podgorica | Montenegro First League |
| 2025-05-14 | Buducnost Podgorica | 2-3 | Jezero | First League |
| 2025-03-16 | Jezero | 3-3 | Buducnost Podgorica | First League |
| 2024-11-09 | Buducnost Podgorica | 1-1 | Jezero | First League |
| 2024-09-15 | Jezero | 0-2 | Buducnost Podgorica | First League |
| 2024-05-30 | Jezero | 1-2 | Buducnost Podgorica | Cup |
Before and after this match
- Jezero, previous: Arsenal Tivat vs Jezero: odds and pick
- Buducnost Podgorica, previous: Buducnost Podgorica – Otrant-Olympic, 2026-11-07