Buducnost Podgorica vs Otrant-Olympic preview
Buducnost Podgorica faces Otrant-Olympic with a 54% chance of winning compared to Otrant-Olympic's 22%. The most likely scoreline is 2-1, which occurs 10% of the time in our model. Both teams to score stands at 58%, matching the probability for Over 2.5 goals.
Buducnost Podgorica's expected goals are 1.87, while Otrant-Olympic's are lower at 1.13. Recent form shows Buducnost Podgorica with 4 wins and 2 draws in their last 6 matches, while Otrant-Olympic has 4 wins, 1 loss, and 1 draw. The head-to-head record favors Buducnost Podgorica with 3 wins out of the last 5 encounters. A draw or an unexpected performance from Otrant-Olympic could change the expected outcome.
Buducnost Podgorica vs Otrant-Olympic: model vs market
| Source | Buducnost Podgorica | Draw | Otrant-Olympic |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 54% | 25% | 22% |
| Market | 42% | 30% | 28% |
| Published | 45% | 28% | 26% |
| Edge | +3% | -1% | -2% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.87 vs 1.13.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.
- The market prices Buducnost Podgorica below our published probability: +2.8 percentage points of edge.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.24, recorded — the top price across the 8 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: +1.1% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
Buducnost Podgorica and Otrant-Olympic expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.01
- Attack rating (Buducnost Podgorica / Otrant-Olympic)
- 1.26 / 1.39
- Defence rating (Buducnost Podgorica / Otrant-Olympic)
- 0.83 / 1.09
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Buducnost Podgorica vs Otrant-Olympic score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Buducnost Podgorica goals. Columns: Otrant-Olympic goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Buducnost Podgorica vs Otrant-Olympic goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 58%
- No goals (0–0)
- 6%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Buducnost Podgorica vs Otrant-Olympic
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Buducnost Podgorica | 45% | 2.22 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.52 | |
| Otrant-Olympic | 26% | 3.78 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 58% | 1.73 |
| Under 2.5 | 42% | 2.38 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 58% | 1.71 |
| No | 42% | 2.41 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Buducnost Podgorica or draw) | 74% | 1.36 |
| 12 (either side) | 72% | 1.40 | |
| X2 (draw or Otrant-Olympic) | 55% | 1.82 | |
| Handicap -1 | Buducnost Podgorica win by 2+ | 31% | 3.18 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
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| 1 |  |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Buducnost Podgorica and Otrant-Olympic recent form
Buducnost Podgorica
4W 2D 0L
Otrant-Olympic
3W 2D 1L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Buducnost Podgorica at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-3-1
- Win rate
- 43%
- Goals for / match
- 1.86
- Goals against / match
- 1.14
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 7
- They have won 7 of their 14 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They average 1.9 goals per game at home against 0.9 on the road.
- They have kept 8 clean sheets in 14 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 14 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Otrant-Olympic away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 4-0-3
- Win rate
- 57%
- Goals for / match
- 1.71
- Goals against / match
- 1.43
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 7
- They have won 7 of their 14 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 14 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 14 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Buducnost Podgorica at home only, Otrant-Olympic away only.
Buducnost Podgorica vs Otrant-Olympic head-to-head
Last 5 meetings: Buducnost Podgorica 3 · draws 1 · Otrant-Olympic 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-05 | Otrant-Olympic | 2-0 | Buducnost Podgorica | Montenegro First League |
| 2025-05-10 | Otrant-Olympic | 0-1 | Buducnost Podgorica | First League |
| 2025-03-12 | Buducnost Podgorica | 5-1 | Otrant-Olympic | First League |
| 2024-11-02 | Otrant-Olympic | 0-3 | Buducnost Podgorica | First League |
| 2024-08-31 | Buducnost Podgorica | 1-1 | Otrant-Olympic | First League |
Other Matchday 15 fixtures
- Bokelj vs Mornar — team news & stats 2026-11-06
- Arsenal Tivat v Jezero — match page 2026-11-07
- Sutjeska vs Petrovac 2026-11-08
- Dečić vs Mladost DG 2026-11-08
Before and after this match
- Buducnost Podgorica, previous: Bokelj – Buducnost Podgorica, 2026-11-02
- Buducnost Podgorica, next: Jezero vs Buducnost Podgorica prediction
- Otrant-Olympic, previous: Otrant-Olympic vs Arsenal Tivat: odds and pick