Sutjeska vs Petrovac preview
Sutjeska has a 62% chance to win against Petrovac, with the most likely scoreline being 1-0 at 17%. Sutjeska's expected goals stand at 1.62, while Petrovac's is only 0.58. This suggests a solid advantage for Sutjeska in terms of offensive capability.
However, Petrovac's recent form includes 3 wins in their last 6 matches, which could challenge Sutjeska's dominance. The probabilities for Over 2.5 goals are at 38%, and both teams to score is at 36%. These figures indicate that while Sutjeska is favored, the match could still be competitive if Petrovac finds their scoring touch.
Sutjeska vs Petrovac: model vs market
| Source | Sutjeska | Draw | Petrovac |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 62% | 26% | 12% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 62% | 26% | 12% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.62 vs 0.58.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Sutjeska and Petrovac expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.19
- Attack rating (Sutjeska / Petrovac)
- 1.20 / 0.87
- Defence rating (Sutjeska / Petrovac)
- 0.67 / 1.00
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Sutjeska vs Petrovac score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Sutjeska goals. Columns: Petrovac goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Sutjeska vs Petrovac goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 36%
- No goals (0–0)
- 12%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Sutjeska vs Petrovac
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Sutjeska | 62% | 1.62 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.80 | |
| Petrovac | 12% | 8.37 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 38% | 2.66 |
| Under 2.5 | 62% | 1.60 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 36% | 2.76 |
| No | 64% | 1.57 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Sutjeska or draw) | 88% | 1.14 |
| 12 (either side) | 74% | 1.36 | |
| X2 (draw or Petrovac) | 38% | 2.61 | |
| Handicap -1 | Sutjeska win by 2+ | 35% | 2.86 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 27% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Sutjeska and Petrovac recent form
Sutjeska
3W 3D 0L
Petrovac
2W 1D 3L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Sutjeska at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 4-1-2
- Win rate
- 57%
- Goals for / match
- 2.14
- Goals against / match
- 1.14
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 7
- They have won 6 of their 14 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They average 2.1 goals per game at home against 0.6 on the road.
- They have kept 8 clean sheets in 14 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 14 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- 41% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Petrovac away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-4-1
- Win rate
- 17%
- Goals for / match
- 0.67
- Goals against / match
- 1.00
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 6
- They have won 3 of their 13 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 13 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 13 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: Sutjeska at home only, Petrovac away only.
Sutjeska vs Petrovac head-to-head
Last 10 meetings: Sutjeska 3 · draws 2 · Petrovac 5.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-04 | Petrovac | 0-0 | Sutjeska | Montenegro First League |
| 2026-04-18 | Petrovac | 0-1 | Sutjeska | Montenegro First League |
| 2026-02-25 | Sutjeska | 2-1 | Petrovac | Montenegro First League |
| 2025-10-18 | Petrovac | 0-1 | Sutjeska | Montenegro First League |
| 2025-08-17 | Sutjeska | 1-1 | Petrovac | Montenegro First League |
| 2025-04-20 | Petrovac | 1-0 | Sutjeska | First League |
| 2025-02-26 | Sutjeska | 0-3 | Petrovac | First League |
| 2024-10-19 | Petrovac | 1-0 | Sutjeska | First League |
| 2024-08-17 | Sutjeska | 0-2 | Petrovac | First League |
| 2024-05-04 | Sutjeska | 0-1 | Petrovac | First League |
Other Matchday 15 fixtures
- Bokelj vs Mornar — team news & stats 2026-11-06
- Arsenal Tivat v Jezero — match page 2026-11-07
- Buducnost Podgorica vs Otrant-Olympic — team news & stats 2026-11-07
- Dečić vs Mladost DG 2026-11-08
Before and after this match
- Sutjeska, previous: Mladost DG vs Sutjeska prediction
- Petrovac, previous: Mornar vs Petrovac prediction
- Petrovac, next: Bokelj vs Petrovac: odds and pick