Mladost DG vs Sutjeska preview
Mladost DG faces Sutjeska with a 1X2 probability of 18% for Mladost DG, 28% for a draw, and 54% for Sutjeska. The most likely scoreline is 0-1, occurring 13% of the time according to our model. Mladost DG's expected goals stand at 0.82, while Sutjeska's are at 1.58, indicating a significant attacking advantage for Sutjeska.
Recent form shows Mladost DG with 1 win in their last 5 matches, while Sutjeska has 5 wins in their last 6. Both teams to score has a probability of 45%, and Over 2.5 goals is at 43%. However, Mladost DG's ability to pull off a surprise could challenge these predictions.
Mladost DG vs Sutjeska: model vs market
| Source | Mladost DG | Draw | Sutjeska |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 18% | 28% | 54% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 18% | 28% | 54% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.58 vs 0.82.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Mladost DG and Sutjeska expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.39
- Attack rating (Mladost DG / Sutjeska)
- 0.87 / 1.13
- Defence rating (Mladost DG / Sutjeska)
- 1.40 / 0.69
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Mladost DG vs Sutjeska score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Mladost DG goals. Columns: Sutjeska goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Mladost DG vs Sutjeska goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 45%
- No goals (0–0)
- 10%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Mladost DG vs Sutjeska
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Mladost DG | 18% | 5.49 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.62 | |
| Sutjeska | 54% | 1.85 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 43% | 2.34 |
| Under 2.5 | 57% | 1.75 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 45% | 2.20 |
| No | 55% | 1.83 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Mladost DG or draw) | 46% | 2.18 |
| 12 (either side) | 72% | 1.38 | |
| X2 (draw or Sutjeska) | 82% | 1.22 | |
| Handicap -1 | Sutjeska win by 2+ | 29% | 3.40 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 25% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
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| 1 |  |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Mladost DG and Sutjeska recent form
Mladost DG
1W 2D 3L
Sutjeska
4W 2D 0L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Mladost DG at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-2-2
- Win rate
- 33%
- Goals for / match
- 1.00
- Goals against / match
- 1.00
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 6
- They have won 3 of their 12 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 12 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 12 matches.
- 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Sutjeska away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-4-1
- Win rate
- 17%
- Goals for / match
- 0.50
- Goals against / match
- 0.33
- Clean sheets
- 4 of 6
- They have won 5 of their 12 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 2.2 goals per game at home against 0.5 on the road.
- They have kept 7 clean sheets in 12 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 12 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Mladost DG at home only, Sutjeska away only.
Mladost DG vs Sutjeska head-to-head
Last 10 meetings: Mladost DG 1 · draws 3 · Sutjeska 6.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-28 | Sutjeska | 5-1 | Mladost DG | Montenegro First League |
| 2026-05-20 | Mladost DG | 0-1 | Sutjeska | Montenegro First League |
| 2026-03-21 | Sutjeska | 1-0 | Mladost DG | Montenegro First League |
| 2026-02-07 | Sutjeska | 1-1 | Mladost DG | Friendlies Clubs |
| 2025-11-30 | Mladost DG | 2-3 | Sutjeska | Montenegro First League |
| 2025-09-21 | Sutjeska | 3-1 | Mladost DG | Montenegro First League |
| 2024-05-12 | Mladost DG | 3-2 | Sutjeska | First League |
| 2024-03-13 | Sutjeska | 2-1 | Mladost DG | First League |
| 2023-11-11 | Mladost DG | 1-1 | Sutjeska | First League |
| 2023-09-03 | Sutjeska | 3-3 | Mladost DG | First League |
Other Matchday 14 fixtures
- Mornar vs Petrovac 2026-11-01
- Bokelj v Buducnost Podgorica — match page 2026-11-01
- Jezero vs Dečić — team news & stats 2026-11-01
- Otrant-Olympic vs Arsenal Tivat 2026-11-01
Before and after this match
- Mladost DG, previous: Petrovac – Mladost DG, 2026-10-28
- Sutjeska, previous: Sutjeska vs Jezero prediction