Bokelj vs Buducnost Podgorica preview
In the fixture between Bokelj and Buducnost Podgorica, the 1X2 probabilities show Bokelj at 34%, a draw at 34%, and Buducnost Podgorica at 32%. The most likely scoreline is 1-0, with a 13% chance according to our model. Both teams to score stands at 40%, while Over 2.5 goals is at 31%.
Bokelj's recent form is W-L-W-D-W-L, while Buducnost Podgorica has a stronger record with D-W-D-W-W-W. The expected goals are close, with Bokelj at 1.00 and Buducnost Podgorica at 0.95. A draw or a higher-scoring match could challenge the predicted outcome. The confidence grade for this match is C, indicating some uncertainty in the predictions.
Bokelj vs Buducnost Podgorica: model vs market
| Source | Bokelj | Draw | Buducnost Podgorica |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 34% | 34% | 32% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 34% | 34% | 32% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Bokelj and Buducnost Podgorica expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 1.95
- Attack rating (Bokelj / Buducnost Podgorica)
- 0.92 / 1.17
- Defence rating (Bokelj / Buducnost Podgorica)
- 0.81 / 0.80
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Bokelj vs Buducnost Podgorica score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Bokelj goals. Columns: Buducnost Podgorica goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Bokelj vs Buducnost Podgorica goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 40%
- No goals (0–0)
- 16%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Bokelj vs Buducnost Podgorica
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Bokelj | 34% | 2.90 |
| Draw | 34% | 2.94 | |
| Buducnost Podgorica | 32% | 3.17 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 31% | 3.24 |
| Under 2.5 | 69% | 1.45 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 40% | 2.50 |
| No | 60% | 1.67 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Bokelj or draw) | 68% | 1.46 |
| 12 (either side) | 66% | 1.52 | |
| X2 (draw or Buducnost Podgorica) | 66% | 1.53 | |
| Handicap -1 | Bokelj win by 2+ | 14% | 7.36 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
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Bokelj and Buducnost Podgorica recent form
Bokelj
3W 1D 2L
Buducnost Podgorica
4W 2D 0L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Bokelj at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 4-1-0
- Win rate
- 80%
- Goals for / match
- 1.60
- Goals against / match
- 0.20
- Clean sheets
- 4 of 5
- They have won 5 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They average 1.6 goals per game at home against 0.3 on the road.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 11 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 11 matches.
- 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Buducnost Podgorica away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-1-2
- Win rate
- 50%
- Goals for / match
- 0.83
- Goals against / match
- 0.67
- Clean sheets
- 4 of 6
- They have won 5 of their 12 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They average 1.7 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
- They have kept 7 clean sheets in 12 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 12 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- 34% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Bokelj at home only, Buducnost Podgorica away only.
Bokelj vs Buducnost Podgorica head-to-head
Last 5 meetings: Bokelj 2 · draws 1 · Buducnost Podgorica 2.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-30 | Buducnost Podgorica | 0-0 | Bokelj | Montenegro First League |
| 2026-05-20 | Buducnost Podgorica | 2-1 | Bokelj | Montenegro First League |
| 2026-03-21 | Bokelj | 2-0 | Buducnost Podgorica | Montenegro First League |
| 2025-11-29 | Buducnost Podgorica | 0-1 | Bokelj | Montenegro First League |
| 2025-09-21 | Bokelj | 0-2 | Buducnost Podgorica | Montenegro First League |
Other Matchday 14 fixtures
- Mornar vs Petrovac 2026-11-01
- Jezero vs Dečić — team news & stats 2026-11-01
- Otrant-Olympic vs Arsenal Tivat 2026-11-01
- Mladost DG v Sutjeska — match page 2026-11-01
Before and after this match
- Bokelj, previous: Arsenal Tivat v Bokelj analysis
- Buducnost Podgorica, previous: Buducnost Podgorica vs Mornar: odds and pick