Jezero vs Dečić preview
In the match between Jezero and Dečić, Jezero has a 48% chance to win compared to Dečić's 23%. The most likely scoreline is 1-0, which reflects Jezero's expected goals of 1.46 against Dečić's 0.95. This suggests a tight match where Jezero may edge out a victory.
However, the recent form shows Jezero with 1 win in their last 6 matches and Dečić with 0 wins in the same period. Both teams have a 48% chance of scoring, indicating that if Dečić finds their form, they could disrupt Jezero's plans. The confidence grade is C, suggesting uncertainty in the outcome.
Jezero vs Dečić: model vs market
| Source | Jezero | Draw | Dečić |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 48% | 29% | 23% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 48% | 29% | 23% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.46 vs 0.95.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Jezero and Dečić expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.41
- Attack rating (Jezero / Dečić)
- 1.09 / 0.71
- Defence rating (Jezero / Dečić)
- 1.35 / 0.98
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Jezero vs Dečić score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Jezero goals. Columns: Dečić goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Jezero vs Dečić goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 48%
- No goals (0–0)
- 10%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Jezero vs Dečić
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Jezero | 48% | 2.09 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.45 | |
| Dečić | 23% | 4.30 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 43% | 2.31 |
| Under 2.5 | 57% | 1.76 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 48% | 2.07 |
| No | 52% | 1.93 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Jezero or draw) | 77% | 1.30 |
| 12 (either side) | 71% | 1.41 | |
| X2 (draw or Dečić) | 52% | 1.91 | |
| Handicap -1 | Jezero win by 2+ | 24% | 4.10 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Jezero and Dečić recent form
Jezero
0W 3D 3L
Dečić
0W 2D 4L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Jezero at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-3-1
- Win rate
- 33%
- Goals for / match
- 1.33
- Goals against / match
- 0.83
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 6
- They have won 2 of their 12 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 12 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 12 matches.
- 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Dečić away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-0-3
- Win rate
- 40%
- Goals for / match
- 1.00
- Goals against / match
- 1.20
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 5
- They have won 4 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 11 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 11 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: Jezero at home only, Dečić away only.
Jezero vs Dečić head-to-head
Last 5 meetings: Jezero 1 · draws 0 · Dečić 4.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-30 | Dečić | 2-1 | Jezero | Montenegro First League |
| 2026-05-10 | Dečić | 3-0 | Jezero | Montenegro First League |
| 2026-03-11 | Jezero | 1-2 | Dečić | Montenegro First League |
| 2025-11-09 | Dečić | 1-0 | Jezero | Montenegro First League |
| 2025-09-13 | Jezero | 4-0 | Dečić | Montenegro First League |
Other Matchday 14 fixtures
- Mornar vs Petrovac 2026-11-01
- Bokelj v Buducnost Podgorica — match page 2026-11-01
- Otrant-Olympic vs Arsenal Tivat 2026-11-01
- Mladost DG v Sutjeska — match page 2026-11-01
Before and after this match
- Jezero, previous: Sutjeska vs Jezero prediction
- Dečić, previous: Dečić vs Otrant-Olympic: odds and pick