Dečić vs Mladost DG preview
In the fixture between Dečić and Mladost DG, the 1X2 probabilities show Dečić at 52% and Mladost DG at 17%. The most likely scoreline is 1-0, with an 18% chance of occurring. Dečić's expected goals stand at 1.32, while Mladost DG has a lower figure of 0.63, indicating a potential advantage for Dečić.
However, recent form suggests challenges for both teams, with Dečić recording L-W-L-L-D-L and Mladost DG at L-L-L-D-D-L. The chances for Over 2.5 goals are at 31% and for both teams to score at 35%. These factors could lead to different outcomes than predicted, particularly if Mladost DG improves their scoring.
Dečić vs Mladost DG: model vs market
| Source | Dečić | Draw | Mladost DG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 52% | 31% | 17% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 52% | 31% | 17% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.32 vs 0.63.
- Better recent form: 1 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Dečić and Mladost DG expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 1.95
- Attack rating (Dečić / Mladost DG)
- 0.75 / 0.73
- Defence rating (Dečić / Mladost DG)
- 0.88 / 1.29
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Dečić vs Mladost DG score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Dečić goals. Columns: Mladost DG goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Dečić vs Mladost DG goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 35%
- No goals (0–0)
- 15%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Dečić vs Mladost DG
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Dečić | 52% | 1.91 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.22 | |
| Mladost DG | 17% | 6.03 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 31% | 3.22 |
| Under 2.5 | 69% | 1.45 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 35% | 2.82 |
| No | 65% | 1.55 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Dečić or draw) | 83% | 1.20 |
| 12 (either side) | 69% | 1.45 | |
| X2 (draw or Mladost DG) | 48% | 2.10 | |
| Handicap -1 | Dečić win by 2+ | 26% | 3.88 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 27% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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Dečić and Mladost DG recent form
Dečić
1W 1D 4L
Mladost DG
0W 2D 4L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Dečić at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-3-1
- Win rate
- 43%
- Goals for / match
- 1.00
- Goals against / match
- 0.57
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 7
- They have won 5 of their 13 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 13 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 13 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
Mladost DG away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-1-5
- Win rate
- 14%
- Goals for / match
- 0.71
- Goals against / match
- 2.29
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 7
- They have won 3 of their 14 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 14 matches.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 14 matches.
- 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Dečić at home only, Mladost DG away only.
Dečić vs Mladost DG head-to-head
Last 9 meetings: Dečić 6 · draws 0 · Mladost DG 3.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-05 | Mladost DG | 2-0 | Dečić | Montenegro First League |
| 2026-04-08 | Mladost DG | 2-1 | Dečić | Montenegro First League |
| 2025-12-10 | Dečić | 3-4 | Mladost DG | Montenegro First League |
| 2025-10-01 | Mladost DG | 1-2 | Dečić | Montenegro First League |
| 2025-08-04 | Dečić | 3-2 | Mladost DG | Montenegro First League |
| 2024-04-21 | Dečić | 2-0 | Mladost DG | First League |
| 2024-02-28 | Mladost DG | 0-3 | Dečić | First League |
| 2023-10-21 | Dečić | 4-1 | Mladost DG | First League |
| 2023-08-13 | Mladost DG | 0-2 | Dečić | First League |
Other Matchday 15 fixtures
- Bokelj vs Mornar — team news & stats 2026-11-06
- Arsenal Tivat v Jezero — match page 2026-11-07
- Buducnost Podgorica vs Otrant-Olympic — team news & stats 2026-11-07
- Sutjeska vs Petrovac 2026-11-08
Before and after this match
- Dečić, previous: Jezero v Dečić analysis
- Dečić, next: Arsenal Tivat v Dečić analysis
- Mladost DG, previous: Mladost DG vs Sutjeska prediction