Enugu Rangers vs Bendel Insurance preview
In the Nigeria Premier Football League fixture, Enugu Rangers have an 80% probability of winning against Bendel Insurance, who sit at just 7%. The most likely scoreline is 2-0, with a 10% chance of occurring. Enugu Rangers are expected to score 2.97 goals, while Bendel Insurance is projected to net only 0.84.
While the model indicates a strong likelihood for Over 2.5 goals at 73% and both teams to score at 54%, there are factors that could alter the outcome. Enugu Rangers' recent form shows a mix of results, including a draw, while Bendel Insurance has struggled with three losses in their last six matches. This inconsistency could impact the final score.
Enugu Rangers vs Bendel Insurance: model vs market
| Source | Enugu Rangers | Draw | Bendel Insurance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 80% | 13% | 7% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 80% | 13% | 7% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.97 vs 0.84.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Enugu Rangers and Bendel Insurance expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.81
- Attack rating (Enugu Rangers / Bendel Insurance)
- 1.45 / 1.38
- Defence rating (Enugu Rangers / Bendel Insurance)
- 1.00 / 1.38
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Enugu Rangers vs Bendel Insurance score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Enugu Rangers goals. Columns: Bendel Insurance goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Enugu Rangers vs Bendel Insurance goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 54%
- No goals (0–0)
- 3%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Enugu Rangers vs Bendel Insurance
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Enugu Rangers | 80% | 1.26 |
| Draw | 13% | 7.46 | |
| Bendel Insurance | 7% | 14.33 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 73% | 1.36 |
| Under 2.5 | 27% | 3.74 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 54% | 1.84 |
| No | 46% | 2.20 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Enugu Rangers or draw) | 93% | 1.08 |
| 12 (either side) | 87% | 1.15 | |
| X2 (draw or Bendel Insurance) | 20% | 4.90 | |
| Handicap -1 | Enugu Rangers win by 2+ | 61% | 1.63 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Enugu Rangers and Bendel Insurance recent form
Enugu Rangers
4W 1D 1L
Bendel Insurance
3W 0D 3L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Enugu Rangers at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-1-0
- Win rate
- 75%
- Goals for / match
- 1.75
- Goals against / match
- 0.75
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 4
- They have won 5 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
Bendel Insurance away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-0-4
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 0.50
- Goals against / match
- 2.00
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 4
- They have won 4 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.9 goals per match.
- They average 3.0 goals per game at home against 0.3 on the road.
League matches this season before kick-off: Enugu Rangers at home only, Bendel Insurance away only.
Enugu Rangers vs Bendel Insurance head-to-head
Last 2 meetings: Enugu Rangers 1 · draws 1 · Bendel Insurance 0.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-10 | Enugu Rangers | 2-1 | Bendel Insurance | Nigeria Premier Football League |
| 2025-12-13 | Bendel Insurance | 1-1 | Enugu Rangers | Nigeria Premier Football League |
Other Matchday 9 fixtures
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Before and after this match
- Enugu Rangers, previous: Enugu Rangers vs MC Alger: odds and pick
- Enugu Rangers, next: MC Alger – Enugu Rangers, 2026-10-23
- Bendel Insurance, previous: Sporting Lagos vs Bendel Insurance prediction